TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59a2…5014backed Sinner68c84,874$57,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,166.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Zverev33c60,323$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00010453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Zverev40c45,428$18,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,061.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Sinner71c18,749$13,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,454.7535244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Zverev30c18,289$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,446.5258232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Zverev31c17,644$5,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.562,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sinner69c16,225$11,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.641,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Zverev32c15,896$5,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,077.644,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Zverev31c15,662$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.111,14341.3%472 W · 671 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zverev31c14,747$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.483,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Sinner69c14,567$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.679764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Sinner53c14,363$7,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,774.3113753.3%73 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zverev47c9,466$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.110443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Sinner46c9,195$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.925749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Sinner66c7,500$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55014443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Zverev23c6,861$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.4457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Sinner77c6,746$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sinner49c5,571$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.392,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev31c4,704$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.177,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Sinner69c4,486$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.5552661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Zverev31c4,167$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.5813029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Sinner69c3,621$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.437167.6%48 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Sinner69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.9829443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Zverev45c3,340$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.131,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Sinner66c2,984$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.4316344.8%73 W · 90 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa526…b971backed Sinner68c2,929$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Zverev47c2,900$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3636750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Sinner69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.551618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Sinner69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5526551.3%136 W · 129 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Sinner68c2,386$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.651030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Zverev32c2,344$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75047842.5%203 W · 275 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Zverev40c2,207$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.5435955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Zverev30c2,041$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.343839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Sinner70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Zverev31c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61028141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sinner65c2,000$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Sinner69c1,739$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1359553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…b252backed Sinner61c1,718$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.572860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Sinner70c1,714$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.292166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Sinner43c1,695$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8233342.6%142 W · 191 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Zverev32c1,693$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.8141941.1%172 W · 247 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Sinner46c1,623$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.727742.9%33 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+40%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Zverev33c1,562$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.4643643.8%191 W · 245 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Sinner69c1,477$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Sinner67c1,456$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Zverev32c1,440$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.991,53442.4%651 W · 883 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Zverev32c1,440$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9471139.1%278 W · 433 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Sinner70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.579552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Sinner69c1,417$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d5…5678backed Sinner69c1,406$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Sinner68c1,400$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484949%24 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked Sinner68c1,310$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Zverev41c1,308$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.788146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Zverev31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Sinner64c1,212$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8513852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Sinner70c1,204$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.294757.4%27 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sinner62c1,111$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.944,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Zverev47c1,058$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.296841.2%28 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Sinner68c999.95$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.991471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+178.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Sinner52c920.72$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.965536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe048…02edbacked Sinner68c919.31$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Sinner68c910$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Sinner62c909.32$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.575761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Sinner50c886.52$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Sinner69c875$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.254151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200c…a466backed Zverev33c873.52$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Sinner57c850.93$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.323246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Sinner54c842.04$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0513050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Sinner32c834.82$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.125339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev39c798.84$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.619,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Zverev66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Zverev40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30087237.2%324 W · 548 L-3.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Sinner68c749.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409662.5%60 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Sinner70c715.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1835360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Sinner71c705.01$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4514854.1%80 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Zverev32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450147.7%239 W · 262 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Zverev31c683.96$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.035561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Zverev32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93cf…c08abacked Sinner40c619.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.02825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Zverev33c599.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Sinner71c586.23$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0110440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Sinner54c555.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.736157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Zverev31c532.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Zverev39c503.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.042,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Zverev33c500.48$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1684349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Sinner41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0513237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Zverev33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Sinner52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24033755.2%186 W · 151 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zverev49c447.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.514,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Zverev65c446.99$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.814955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Sinner69c443.94$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6239055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…2943backed Sinner68c441.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Sinner41c438.49$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6854547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Sinner69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Sinner68c424.06$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.717458%101 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0be…e6c2backed Zverev34c423.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zverev38c423.01$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.331,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zverev31c416.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.251,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Zverev48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Zverev31c406.45$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12626555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.