Tennis · resolved market

Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7cd2045aa4d747dbc612dbf94c21d580c70d297eade08cdbab6d0ba9b69f72e

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,244 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	48c	17,484$8,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,392.48	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over	52c	11,335$5,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,440.87	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under	48c	4,771$2,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,290.21	130	25.4%33 W · 97 L	-13.6wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-28%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over	52c	3,725$1,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,787.95	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	44c	2,501$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.84	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under	49c	2,449$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	572	49.5%283 W · 289 L	-32.8wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over	52c	2,442$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.31	135	59.3%80 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Under	49c	2,316$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.6	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee9…e519backed Over	52c	2,285$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Under	49c	2,222$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	51c	1,956$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.22	323	33.7%109 W · 214 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Over	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Over	50c	1,782$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	51c	1,763$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.43	1,227	53.2%653 W · 574 L	-5.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over	52c	1,650$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792	747	43.6%326 W · 421 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3448…7797backed Under	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Under	49c	1,000$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.63	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Over	51c	888$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.12	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	74c	868.73$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.84	4,602	48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L	+34.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Over	50c	811$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.59	668	31.3%209 W · 459 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	49c	700$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	528	47%248 W · 280 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	48c	673.7$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.38	1,149	41.3%474 W · 675 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Under	41c	567.44$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.65	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8544…94d6backed Over	52c	549.75$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.88	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	76c	546.06$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.96	5,416	48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L	+14.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Under	49c	544.9$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	177	57.6%102 W · 75 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b52…8ceebacked Over	52c	543.17$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.72	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under	40c	500.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.43	1,337	46%615 W · 722 L	+23.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Over	52c	472.31$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.71	178	50.6%90 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Over	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Over	52c	399.9$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.95	179	42.5%76 W · 103 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under	49c	393.76$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.94	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-8.6wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Over	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Under	49c	380$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-71%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	59c	363.15$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.94	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under	46c	324.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,566	40%627 W · 939 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked Under	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	240	55%132 W · 108 L	-15.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+29%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	122	50.8%62 W · 60 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over	54c	299.99$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	39c	279.65$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.43	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Over	52c	248.08$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.08	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.31per pick	50cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	52c	240.98$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.67	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	1,556	42.4%660 W · 896 L	+20.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6428…8188backed Over	51c	235.98$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.63	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	40c	220.43$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.17	1,688	45.4%766 W · 922 L	-10.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	489	35.8%175 W · 314 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…9610backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d4…9522backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	10c	179.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	6,449	46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L	-42.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	66c	172.04$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	745	47.4%353 W · 392 L	-28.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c03…3e4fbacked Over	52c	163.4$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.43	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	40c	142.52$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.18	2,601	46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L	+18.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Over	52c	137.79$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.14	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.7wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+78%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	139	38.8%54 W · 85 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over	52c	108.31$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc24f…087fbacked Over	75c	99.63$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…6acebacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb9…c8fabacked Under	49c	67.35$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Under	41c	56.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	2,447	45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2b…4db7backed Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	1,008	43.8%442 W · 566 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under	48c	42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	304	36.8%112 W · 192 L	-19.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76e0…3488backed Under	41c	41.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over	49c	39.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	1,240	41.2%511 W · 729 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5576…0a66backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	48c	31.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	1,624	49.8%809 W · 815 L	-9.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,025	54%554 W · 471 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1995backed Under	50c	29.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	48c	29.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	482	45.6%220 W · 262 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac6…94d6backed Over	51c	27.12$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b08…351ebacked Over	51c	23.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5this page
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevZverev won
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event