Tennis · resolved market
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9e1e7fee2ed87f75b64873784bd79588484e4c7496ef40b6ff26e822adec77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 11,923$5,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,709.43 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Over | 52c | 9,015$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.01 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 11c | 2,212$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 45c | 2,127$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…a466backed Over | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 43c | 1,737$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.24 | 311 | 33.8%105 W · 206 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Under | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 25c | 1,063$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.76 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 45c | 815$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 49c | 678.13$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.82 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Under | 56c | 657.39$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 57c | 651.31$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 11c | 608.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 508.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.38 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 57c | 474.27$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…b77fbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over | 44c | 372.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 56c | 313.15$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.07 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 55c | 249.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 50c | 201.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Under | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 43c | 101.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 28c | 100.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…4be8backed Under | 56c | 92.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…1575backed Over | 50c | 84.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Under | 13c | 83.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Under | 54c | 79.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…b8bebacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Under | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 44c | 67.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 58.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…f62cbacked Over | 58c | 56.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…e36dbacked Over | 49c | 47.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3786…439abacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…fc31backed Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…1693backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…42fdbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…f73cbacked Over | 51c | 35.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 58c | 34.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…ea43backed Under | 57c | 33.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 50c | 31.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4886…6a97backed Over | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…8632backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.