Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f7617e95475b8ae6a19b024d8a319d0e3298f608154d43a463c074f6845e31

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,286 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x23d8…0288backed No	72c	18,202$13,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,096.47	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes	28c	12,000$3,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,360	131	18.3%24 W · 107 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	75c	5,000$3,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	71c	4,161$2,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.81	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	73c	3,876$2,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.11	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dc…338abacked No	73c	3,349$2,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.04	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…0451backed Yes	28c	3,006$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.42	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	29c	2,750$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.14	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa962…8978backed Yes	26c	2,288$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf52…8ca9backed Yes	30c	2,033$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb962…33d8backed Yes	28c	1,900$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	72c	1,824$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.34	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	28c	1,683$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.1	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550f…a18dbacked Yes	29c	1,380$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.23	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No	71c	1,378$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.73	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	28c	1,324$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.32	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No	72c	1,269$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.89	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a5f…6c92backed Yes	27c	1,201$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.26	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	76c	1,016$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.55	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb8…515dbacked Yes	27c	940.01$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	13c	852.88$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.38	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	30c	822.11$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Yes	21c	811.21$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.35	182	48.9%89 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	74c	748.78$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.68	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No	70c	693.7$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.7	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe4f6…db0ebacked Yes	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	70c	640.93$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.28	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	74c	619.47$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.26	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	71c	599.98$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.99	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed Yes	28c	589.29$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e52…44e7backed Yes	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	71c	489.95$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.08	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes	27c	485$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.55	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes	32c	473.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b63…03d6backed Yes	29c	435.19$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.21	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebd…a8e1backed Yes	30c	421.33$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	24c	405.75$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.38	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Yes	27c	400$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes	26c	400$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes	28c	399.97$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58b…7d90backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No	72c	380.42$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.52	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…4760backed Yes	28c	360$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5847…5d8dbacked Yes	27c	355.44$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a54…6822backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3716…238cbacked Yes	28c	338.29$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes	25c	317$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.78	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	78c	297.25$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.66	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7034…9edebacked No	68c	296.29$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.81	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd59b…5c85backed Yes	29c	282.76$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	149	73.2%109 W · 40 L	+17.6wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0002…4c24backed Yes	37c	273.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8282…61a1backed Yes	28c	269.14$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bf…d92fbacked Yes	29c	261.41$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	75c	239$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.67	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	76c	219$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.97	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	29c	210.34$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes	25c	208.63$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.12	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	29c	204.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Yes	26c	201$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…71cdbacked Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes	12c	190$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	75c	188.8$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.05	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	76c	183.09$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.44	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fd…dc2abacked Yes	29c	180$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.2	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…45d1backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e28…3609backed Yes	28c	167.92$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	26c	166.79$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3a…3b17backed No	74c	160.12$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.12	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	75c	160$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11cb…0bdbbacked Yes	29c	151.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.87	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7184…737bbacked Yes	28c	146.93$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No	64c	142.96$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.32	188	43.6%82 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	67c	141.6$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.02	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked No	72c	139.86$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.16	38	76.3%29 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	76cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked No	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…9e60backed Yes	29c	127.03$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	29c	124.71$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	26c	122.8$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.93	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…a51abacked Yes	28c	113.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	29c	112.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	74c	109$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.9	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	28c	108$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	28c	104.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb167…f1b6backed Yes	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked Yes	26c	103.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8400backed Yes	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	103	29.1%30 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…f1e0backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d9c…d1a6backed Yes	24c	92.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…c6a1backed Yes	26c	88.46$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x916a…8836backed Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…f422backed Yes	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will the final be ESP vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will the final be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will the final be FRA vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will the final be MAR vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event