Fifa International · resolved market
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd67bb6c33c491ca298790114ac950b03fe8dc5ef87ab69986f2e7615a23b3ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 67c | 8,576$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,754.73 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 56c | 7,239$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.66 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed No | 78c | 6,522$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.83 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 42c | 5,714$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.03 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Yes | 21c | 5,619$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 27c | 3,111$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…74bcbacked No | 79c | 2,814$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 39c | 2,757$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.83 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 45c | 2,756$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.67 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 21c | 2,371$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,242$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 53c | 2,167$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 1,635$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.6 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 15c | 1,575$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 58c | 1,355$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.54 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 44c | 1,073$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.21 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,042$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 75c | 961.17$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.68 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 874.53$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 856.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 46c | 732.09$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.33 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 645.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…c21ebacked Yes | 21c | 619.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 52c | 579.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…1ebdbacked Yes | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 565$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 26c | 547.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 21c | 520.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 30c | 478.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 38c | 475.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 23c | 464.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 454$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 440.52$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 430.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 54c | 400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed No | 79c | 399.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed No | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 54c | 376.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 27c | 364.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 16c | 321.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 14c | 317$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 53c | 299.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 15c | 293.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…8a22backed No | 77c | 224.4$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…e544backed Yes | 22c | 224.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 53c | 214.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 211.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 73c | 204$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 203$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +292%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 76c | 192.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 78c | 190.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 58c | 183$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2519…a6d4backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 27c | 172.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…db49backed Yes | 14c | 168.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ebc1backed Yes | 54c | 167.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…2042backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 27c | 163.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…be3bbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 12c | 146.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…df08backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…e5e4backed Yes | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 11c | 138$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 47c | 137.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked No | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…17d4backed Yes | 53c | 123.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed2…7571backed Yes | 78c | 113.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 79c | 100.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…ee12backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…1535backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…2b19backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…69febacked Yes | 21c | 90.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 36c | 88.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 22c | 86.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed No | 48c | 86.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 22c | 85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 83.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked No | 23c | 73.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 53c | 73.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…47c6backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…5ea2backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…038fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…bae0backed Yes | 21c | 68.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…1868backed No | 60c | 45.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be ESP vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be MAR vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.