Fifa International · resolved market
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d3429b064365472c21cc5f63818c80d73a96f3fd90dcdcca3c8f1fe1835295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9985…1466backed Yes | 19c | 13,392$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,805.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 80c | 7,995$6,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.1 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 44c | 7,516$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.7 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 18c | 6,263$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,144.27 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed No | 53c | 4,952$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.35 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 19c | 2,920$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.18 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 2,847$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 20c | 2,558$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.28 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 71c | 1,925$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.13 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 28c | 1,590$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.72 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 76c | 1,433$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.15 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…d49ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,347$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 36c | 1,315$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.41 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 63c | 1,277$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.97 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.1 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…40afbacked Yes | 34c | 1,161$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 22c | 1,121$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.07 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…8b06backed Yes | 40c | 1,014$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 45c | 810.41$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…c046backed Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…c21ebacked Yes | 20c | 625$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 619.48$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.26 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 613$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…2d9bbacked Yes | 17c | 595.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…2471backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 26c | 537.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes | 15c | 533$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.05 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 20c | 520.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.66 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…44e7backed No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked Yes | 22c | 453.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 63c | 425.38$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 422.9$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 414.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.05 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 76c | 411.7$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 30c | 357.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…f6c1backed Yes | 19c | 338.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 170 | 24.1%41 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 16c | 317$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 75c | 291.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.72 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…b22fbacked Yes | 19c | 277.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…aeebbacked Yes | 19c | 273.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 72c | 220.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…1ae3backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 46c | 210.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2519…a6d4backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…5e15backed Yes | 26c | 201.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 19c | 199$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 197.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 54c | 179.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 173$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 57c | 157.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 19c | 154.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +321.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…0bdbbacked Yes | 14c | 150.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed Yes | 19c | 147.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 10c | 147.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…3312backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 53c | 136.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 134.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 50c | 112.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 111.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 14c | 105.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…3215backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 83.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed No | 54c | 81.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 52c | 80.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 40c | 79.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…5ae6backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…7c52backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…98d1backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked Yes | 19c | 74.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…77b0backed Yes | 27c | 74.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 65.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed No | 80c | 63.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…f28fbacked Yes | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 69c | 51.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…1868backed No | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 39.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 76c | 38.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…52abbacked Yes | 29c | 37.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 68c | 32.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…115fbacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fee…2e1abacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…e386backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f2…9450backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be ESP vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be FRA vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the final be MAR vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.