MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e708f73712c323e4e7e920b89fec1afb60c3159db5cd9a26947cb395bc1d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,015,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,056,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 347,293$147,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,155.67 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 190,240$110,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,023.95 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,799.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 56,883$31,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,515.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 49,055$27,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,189.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 37,812$21,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,444.66 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 31,915$14,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,042.55 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 31,365$14,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,841.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 29,690$13,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,243.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 28,563$12,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,281.91 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 26,291$14,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,316.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 25,794$14,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,077.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 22,328$12,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,511.9 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 21,537$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,398.15 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 17,843$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 17,034$9,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,413.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 15,455$8,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.75 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.91 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 11,961$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 10,300$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 9,365$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,487.72 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 8,796$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.05 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.96 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 6,666$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.36 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 5,004$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 4,826$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 4,800$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 4,693$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.25 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 4,685$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.27 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 4,652$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.4 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 4,182$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.67 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabb…16debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,920$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.21 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 3,872$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.81 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 3,806$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.2 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,680$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 3,654$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,348$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,338$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.85 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 3,252$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.21 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,092$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,623$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.75 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,352$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.22 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,310$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.73 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,304$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,232$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,201$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,097$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.28 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 2,022$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.56 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.14 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,556$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.99 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,498$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.08 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,493$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.27 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,441$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.68 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,272$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.71 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,255$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,188$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 1,168$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.93 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,140$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,116$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.09 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 1,115$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.21 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,088$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.72 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…0ddabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 999.99$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.99 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 986.73$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 976.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 960$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 914.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 910.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 870.58$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.95 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 801.14$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 789.78$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 706$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…abf4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 681.69$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 674.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 663.76$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 651.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.94 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 636$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.27 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 634.52$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 628.65$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 624$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 611$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.