TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,015,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,056,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Tampa Bay Rays42c347,293$147,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,155.6721040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Toronto Blue Jays58c190,240$110,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,023.9513561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Tampa Bay Rays43c60,000$25,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,799.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays55c56,883$31,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,515.710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays57c49,055$27,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,189.12,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Tampa Bay Rays57c37,812$21,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,444.6631958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays44c31,915$14,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,042.5598149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays46c31,365$14,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,841.218,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays45c29,690$13,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,243.712,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays43c28,563$12,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,281.9114248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays57c26,291$14,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,316.783,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays55c25,794$14,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,077.121,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays57c22,328$12,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,511.95,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays38c21,537$8,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,398.1511,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays41c17,843$7,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.591,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays56c17,034$9,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,413.214,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays57c15,455$8,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,645.7550153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Toronto Blue Jays58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9159549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays42c11,961$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays57c10,300$5,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,42655052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Toronto Blue Jays57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3007550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,10031039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Tampa Bay Rays80c9,365$7,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,487.726839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Toronto Blue Jays56c8,796$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.0512457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Toronto Blue Jays58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.964454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Toronto Blue Jays58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.94875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays57c6,666$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.3638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.165450%27 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays26c5,004$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.138,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays41c4,826$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Tampa Bay Rays42c4,800$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0165743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00029449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Tampa Bay Rays72c4,693$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.2520350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Toronto Blue Jays46c4,685$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.278355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays41c4,652$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.43,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays62c4,182$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.6743554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Toronto Blue Jays58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6805143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeabb…16debacked Tampa Bay Rays71c4,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays58c3,920$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.211,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays36c3,872$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.812,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays43c3,806$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.21,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays57c3,680$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.61,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays32c3,654$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.621,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Toronto Blue Jays57c3,348$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.342339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays52c3,338$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.854,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays71c3,252$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.2147589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays58c3,092$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.631,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Toronto Blue Jays59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Toronto Blue Jays58c2,700$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays41c2,623$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.756,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays44c2,352$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.2257758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays60c2,310$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.731,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Toronto Blue Jays57c2,304$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Tampa Bay Rays52c2,232$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.212951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Tampa Bay Rays45c2,201$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tampa Bay Rays49c2,097$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.2885135.8%305 W · 546 L-23.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays75c2,022$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.561,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Tampa Bay Rays44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Tampa Bay Rays42c1,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.148646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays58c1,556$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.991,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Tampa Bay Rays39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5857139.4%28 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays58c1,498$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.0851547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays48c1,493$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.2734650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Toronto Blue Jays59c1,441$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6828850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays42c1,272$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.7173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays58c1,255$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.921,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Toronto Blue Jays59c1,188$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.084252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays71c1,168$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.9375244%331 W · 421 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays51c1,140$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.135,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toronto Blue Jays52c1,116$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.0937348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays32c1,115$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.211,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays44c1,088$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.721,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2f…0ddabacked Toronto Blue Jays58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays57c999.99$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9920648.1%99 W · 107 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Toronto Blue Jays57c986.73$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.298557.6%49 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Tampa Bay Rays11c976.4$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.016314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays42c960$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.41,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c914.08$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.581,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Tampa Bay Rays44c910.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c870.58$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9579147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c813.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays43c801.14$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4912441.1%51 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays44c789.78$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.79,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c706$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.462245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…abf4backed Tampa Bay Rays58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Toronto Blue Jays59c681.69$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Tampa Bay Rays18c674.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9310215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays70c663.76$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.531,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Toronto Blue Jays30c651.51$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9467742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays46c636$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.275,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays44c634.52$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays52c628.65$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.228,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays57c624$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.321,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed Toronto Blue Jays56c611$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.