TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Zhejiang Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb184…b6c6backed Zhejiang Lions26c9,257$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.77425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Shenzhen Leopards46c7,783$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.745360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Shenzhen Leopards74c7,503$5,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.532927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Zhejiang Lions43c6,524$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.822842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zhejiang Lions43c3,930$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.874443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Shenzhen Leopards61c3,889$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.043345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Shenzhen Leopards67c3,600$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Zhejiang Lions33c3,004$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003735.1%13 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5f…ddf0backed Zhejiang Lions60c2,959$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Shenzhen Leopards45c2,911$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.4321444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Zhejiang Lions34c2,900$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Shenzhen Leopards54c2,742$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.4237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Zhejiang Lions62c2,591$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Zhejiang Lions36c2,474$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Shenzhen Leopards70c1,840$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Shenzhen Leopards69c1,700$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Shenzhen Leopards44c1,566$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.44344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Zhejiang Lions55c1,339$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.635230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Zhejiang Lions54c1,316$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71070%0 W · 7 L-3.9wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Zhejiang Lions54c1,294$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…dbeabacked Shenzhen Leopards62c1,294$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.641030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Zhejiang Lions47c1,248$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shenzhen Leopards53c1,159$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8135234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8e…5d6abacked Zhejiang Lions62c1,127$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Shenzhen Leopards71c1,121$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.624740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf8…043dbacked Zhejiang Lions54c1,109$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Shenzhen Leopards40c1,100$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Zhejiang Lions49c1,076$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.113545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Shenzhen Leopards41c1,028$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.232634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Zhejiang Lions35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Shenzhen Leopards46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5404562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Zhejiang Lions47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Zhejiang Lions59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Zhejiang Lions55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Shenzhen Leopards69c905.83$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb6…8e13backed Zhejiang Lions28c769.86$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Zhejiang Lions43c733.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Zhejiang Lions47c705.83$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.466747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Zhejiang Lions58c703.94$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.445844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shenzhen Leopards37c695.44$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.1324430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Zhejiang Lions58c658.98$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x803a…1856backed Zhejiang Lions37c643.57$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-78.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…7a1fbacked Shenzhen Leopards54c642.06$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shenzhen Leopards54c641.69$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Zhejiang Lions56c641.52$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.251250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Zhejiang Lions55c632.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…ce69backed Zhejiang Lions21c600$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.31450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817c…0817backed Shenzhen Leopards59c600$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.68650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Zhejiang Lions42c588.03$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1570…de29backed Zhejiang Lions54c553.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceca…4800backed Zhejiang Lions55c536.62$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Shenzhen Leopards62c512.19$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.853823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Shenzhen Leopards41c510.92$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Zhejiang Lions51c502.3$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Zhejiang Lions54c501.83$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Shenzhen Leopards52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91dd…2730backed Zhejiang Lions21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Shenzhen Leopards40c497.31$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.391464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Shenzhen Leopards70c494.05$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.611163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf99…74babacked Zhejiang Lions62c484.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Shenzhen Leopards43c483.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.041540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a2…e9b7backed Zhejiang Lions42c471.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Shenzhen Leopards47c469.92$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Shenzhen Leopards71c464.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.239551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Shenzhen Leopards52c463$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.946061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Shenzhen Leopards46c452.48$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Shenzhen Leopards57c434.45$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.442646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Shenzhen Leopards69c417.5$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.455648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Shenzhen Leopards48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd99f…fcdcbacked Zhejiang Lions43c386.03$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Shenzhen Leopards62c369.98$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5911455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Shenzhen Leopards44c366.71$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zhejiang Lions53c349.06$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…4b50backed Zhejiang Lions15c333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed Shenzhen Leopards61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x499a…a047backed Zhejiang Lions62c321.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea5a…eef2backed Shenzhen Leopards44c306.03$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955a…3cd3backed Shenzhen Leopards40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Zhejiang Lions54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…cb3fbacked Zhejiang Lions34c298.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003721.6%8 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x248d…2885backed Shenzhen Leopards70c284.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Shenzhen Leopards41c277$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.431145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Zhejiang Lions52c272.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Zhejiang Lions54c261.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Shenzhen Leopards72c260$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Shenzhen Leopards41c258.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c1…92adbacked Shenzhen Leopards58c255$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.85100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Zhejiang Lions43c250.94$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.241675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Shenzhen Leopards74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Zhejiang Lions50c247.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.491540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Shenzhen Leopards75c247$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1910947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Zhejiang Lions36c246.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Shenzhen Leopards44c246.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.961118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Zhejiang Lions63c238.58$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8934…afb3backed Zhejiang Lions42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Shenzhen Leopards68c226.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.091080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Shenzhen Leopards71c226.79$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Zhejiang Lions50c225$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Zhejiang Lions19c224.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Zhejiang Lions49c216$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.937042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.