TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof RED Canids, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed RED Canids1c22,220$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.216511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports58c16,388$9,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,903.51,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports63c8,870$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.691,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed RED Canids46c7,000$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed RED Canids44c6,693$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.951,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked RED Canids44c5,322$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.3733949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked RED Canids33c4,788$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.161,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed FURIA Esports62c4,348$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.5352848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed RED Canids44c4,281$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.7818633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked FURIA Esports49c4,250$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.4712446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA Esports55c4,066$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.61,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked RED Canids43c3,754$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.3667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked FURIA Esports53c3,177$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.2153355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed RED Canids37c2,722$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.8864247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FURIA Esports47c2,634$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.8585652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed FURIA Esports56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10032440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed FURIA Esports55c2,184$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.6914346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed RED Canids43c2,089$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.6857947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked FURIA Esports68c1,841$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.3519743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed FURIA Esports63c1,773$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.0385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked RED Canids58c1,735$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed FURIA Esports55c1,720$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.211,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed FURIA Esports62c1,619$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.3529846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed RED Canids44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed RED Canids30c1,569$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46516942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed FURIA Esports54c1,521$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.894062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed RED Canids1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151541.9%3 W · 151 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked RED Canids48c1,410$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.383560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed RED Canids29c1,348$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.229938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked FURIA Esports71c1,320$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4143358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed RED Canids51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.5111246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed RED Canids55c1,230$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.635346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed FURIA Esports63c1,221$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.881,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed RED Canids49c1,214$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60060354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed RED Canids23c1,176$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.12,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed RED Canids4c1,150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed FURIA Esports57c1,079$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9758850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA Esports58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked RED Canids1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed RED Canids1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed RED Canids23c998.59$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8189347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed RED Canids46c998$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3682836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed RED Canids40c951$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.41,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA Esports60c915.22$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.331,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed FURIA Esports56c883.41$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8748747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked RED Canids47c870$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3815257.9%88 W · 64 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked RED Canids47c852.29$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.991,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports54c814.41$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.421,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked FURIA Esports54c812$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.661,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed RED Canids40c800.23$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32021749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed RED Canids52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed RED Canids39c766.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed RED Canids19c744.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.549621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed FURIA Esports59c717.5$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2631244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA Esports66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.611,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports60c656.88$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked RED Canids44c654.52$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed RED Canids26c631.24$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1619437.6%73 W · 121 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked RED Canids49c614.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked FURIA Esports57c599.98$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.991,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked FURIA Esports56c590.82$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4618953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RED Canids45c530$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.12,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked RED Canids48c528.65$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7563352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed FURIA Esports60c527.98$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.531,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed RED Canids39c525.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports58c519.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2576142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked FURIA Esports59c510.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed RED Canids39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8713854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea86…090dbacked RED Canids44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed RED Canids37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked FURIA Esports77c499.99$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11363646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed RED Canids35c499.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.51,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA Esports56c499.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports57c499.81$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.062,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RED Canids52c472.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.021,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked RED Canids31c467.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4317042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed RED Canids43c459.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7926246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed RED Canids43c453.19$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19740446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed RED Canids52c449.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9957151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…c1dabacked RED Canids35c449.32$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.146538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed FURIA Esports55c449$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0557754.9%317 W · 260 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked RED Canids55c426.64$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.551,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x828b…a13fbacked RED Canids47c421.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010450%52 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports61c400.38$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.411,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed RED Canids61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24223943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked RED Canids61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24229942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed RED Canids61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24243233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed RED Canids61c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24221242%89 W · 123 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked RED Canids50c399.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed RED Canids48c371.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3936749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked RED Canids41c371.78$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3458420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked RED Canids42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.216047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked FURIA Esports53c354.19$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RED Canids42c349.85$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.761,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed RED Canids44c343.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked RED Canids44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed RED Canids33c338.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.891,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports56c338$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.553,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed RED Canids31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.