TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof RED Canids, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked RED Canids39c46,000$18,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,052.557246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports64c23,892$15,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,717.391,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports57c22,561$12,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,699.112,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed RED Canids36c14,743$5,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.021,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA Esports63c13,400$8,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.3591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed RED Canids1c11,110$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.116511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed FURIA Esports65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9954756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked FURIA Esports65c8,971$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.0518953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids37c6,832$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.8490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed RED Canids39c6,666$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.7335431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports61c6,129$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.311,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked FURIA Esports64c5,958$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.6767553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked RED Canids35c5,728$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.0646637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports67c4,529$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.841,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed RED Canids44c4,526$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.4514346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed FURIA Esports57c4,294$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.221,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed RED Canids37c4,158$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.213632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked RED Canids29c4,095$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.8833949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed FURIA Esports56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76032440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed RED Canids30c3,448$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.9951348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed RED Canids30c3,423$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.651,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA Esports64c3,378$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.841,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked FURIA Esports59c3,367$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.9798956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked RED Canids41c3,074$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.853355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed RED Canids35c2,549$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.211,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed RED Canids41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0254431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked FURIA Esports68c2,486$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.021,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed RED Canids51c2,475$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.311,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed FURIA Esports65c2,366$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.1485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed FURIA Esports62c2,338$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.568751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed RED Canids43c2,299$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.2952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed FURIA Esports68c2,200$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.144062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked RED Canids36c2,187$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78090537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed RED Canids45c2,163$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.199938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed FURIA Esports65c2,121$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.351,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA Esports56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed RED Canids39c2,000$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.9263546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked RED Canids41c1,898$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.691,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed RED Canids42c1,889$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed RED Canids16c1,818$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5718633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked FURIA Esports67c1,754$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8267760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed RED Canids39c1,750$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed RED Canids37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed RED Canids33c1,565$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4564247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed FURIA Esports65c1,528$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.858850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed FURIA Esports67c1,491$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8524658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed FURIA Esports56c1,408$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.831,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked RED Canids22c1,350$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9930357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked FURIA Esports64c1,250$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.512446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked RED Canids34c1,200$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.131,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked FURIA Esports57c1,180$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.8496057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed RED Canids44c1,137$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.260354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed FURIA Esports62c1,130$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8926661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed RED Canids44c1,115$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.716240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked FURIA Esports73c1,097$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.521,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked RED Canids40c1,080$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9116241.4%67 W · 95 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked RED Canids36c1,059$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6118335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked RED Canids37c1,054$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0787844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked RED Canids41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41059248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA Esports57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed RED Canids18c999.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.596250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed RED Canids31c984.67$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0186943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked RED Canids27c915.69$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.171,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed FURIA Esports66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.091,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked FURIA Esports56c892$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4812656.3%71 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ab…2f5abacked RED Canids30c891.27$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.386934.8%24 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed RED Canids29c877.74$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.781,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed RED Canids23c857.89$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9389347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed RED Canids19c825.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4282836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA Esports66c793.25$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.181,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed RED Canids31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.51,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked FURIA Esports61c730.88$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7211059.1%65 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed RED Canids35c710.59$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8476142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed FURIA Esports61c674.78$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1615453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef2…4e03backed FURIA Esports78c634.96$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.692466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked FURIA Esports60c609.13$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6438655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked FURIA Esports73c605$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3918065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed RED Canids24c575$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.757869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked FURIA Esports62c561.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5943453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed RED Canids45c561.14$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.519621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed RED Canids35c534.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0526635%93 W · 173 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed FURIA Esports56c513$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7233857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed RED Canids42c510.68$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21716035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed FURIA Esports58c505.98$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5111547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked FURIA Esports64c503.73$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.851,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed FURIA Esports74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027465.7%180 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed FURIA Esports79c499.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.537754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed FURIA Esports66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FURIA Esports63c496$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6896054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked FURIA Esports77c490.83$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.891,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed RED Canids26c486.58$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2385652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports61c479.58$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.152,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed FURIA Esports69c478.58$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14948353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RED Canids43c470$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.12,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RED Canids26c467.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5440231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed RED Canids37c452$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.53,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked RED Canids21c448$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.91,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed RED Canids21c429$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7538342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.