TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,275,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,274,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,275,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes12c251,585$29,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,656.3733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b75…a9cfbacked Yes12c188,333$22,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,6001040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes11c70,504$7,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c61,576$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8214715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes15c60,791$8,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9862,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c41,709$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes12c41,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59b5…4c12backed Yes3c28,756$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-88.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c25,112$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.141,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes5c23,349$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2788231.7%26 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Yes12c22,222$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.643458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes1c21,985$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0343…f2dcbacked Yes13c20,493$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked Yes3c18,564$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.63740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes15c13,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed Yes3c12,823$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.925832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes13c12,308$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6007753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes0c10,229$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4240912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes4c9,838$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3884531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Yes12c9,258$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1115127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4284…dfbabacked Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes2c7,996$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.451468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes2c7,801$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9421439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes15c7,667$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1508845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Yes1c7,640$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x458a…7c32backed Yes13c7,189$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.5370%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes12c6,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes2c6,512$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.16434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-77%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes12c6,286$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.340239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes17c5,977$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Yes14c5,574$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.0622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes12c5,555$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.613959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes11c5,236$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.7765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec5…def4backed Yes5c5,183$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353020%6 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes5c5,077$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.991705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…1bcebacked Yes9c5,029$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.092548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505219.2%10 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c4,405$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes13c4,400$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Yes12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003228.1%9 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes15c4,103$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes4c4,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes3c3,748$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.448231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes4c3,517$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.022,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes4c3,452$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4319332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Yes12c3,391$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.961822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54c5…5f9ebacked Yes2c3,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508542.4%36 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes4c2,980$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.36246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Yes4c2,807$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe858…05b5backed Yes4c2,779$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked Yes12c2,733$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3285326.4%14 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked Yes4c2,673$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006141%25 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…c0e6backed Yes14c2,645$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8112615.1%19 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfc…4247backed Yes12c2,639$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.654719.1%9 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe7…34c3backed Yes4c2,580$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c64…c471backed Yes1c2,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204122%9 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf6…20d7backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Yes4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447c…34d3backed Yes13c2,462$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320140%0 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c9…4179backed Yes1c2,356$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203312.1%4 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes4c2,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ef…afaebacked Yes4c2,222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes10c2,096$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.824616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9a…09a5backed Yes1c2,084$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…5ad0backed Yes12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes4c2,003$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.339334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26026940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed Yes10c1,957$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908630.2%26 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes11c1,955$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3923529.8%70 W · 165 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c1,860$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes12c1,789$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ed…ed4dbacked Yes13c1,731$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225506%3 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-64.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes9c1,687$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50a7…6f9cbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005056%28 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400b…705fbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6278…e828backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005424.1%13 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eef…dc37backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba70…bb13backed Yes2c1,589$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes3c1,582$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.310311.7%12 W · 91 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes7c1,545$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.562633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes2c1,495$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0718227.5%50 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Yes4c1,447$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.93026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes5c1,421$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes13c1,414$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.84632.6%15 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e51…ccaabacked Yes4c1,400$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1717830.3%54 W · 124 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes5c1,350$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb629…14dbbacked Yes12c1,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604314%6 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes1c1,288$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88434.7%2 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+136.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.