TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,648,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,543,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,648,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 723 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde29…89b1backed Yes19c99,999$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.871915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes15c65,014$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,005.11,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes23c61,405$14,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,123.22835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes6c51,390$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9526534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes18c50,422$9,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,070.492,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…d62fbacked Yes0c34,090$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.091963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes3c33,277$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Yes18c32,221$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.783458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes1c28,374$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c28,012$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,967.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes8c23,674$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.063,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No78c20,987$16,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.971,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes14c19,390$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.7224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes18c16,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes15c16,220$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,43018047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes17c15,441$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.971,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c13,897$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.761705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No80c13,862$11,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.5729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes22c10,269$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.2519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes17c9,469$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.22,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes18c9,397$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.4711421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked Yes5c8,907$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.093740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x458a…7c32backed Yes19c7,958$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51270%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No78c6,110$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.1911642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes17c5,880$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes22c5,688$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.3817452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f77…9da4backed Yes18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2911…98a7backed Yes6c5,056$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes7c5,030$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.918231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1518…2652backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…08e1backed Yes17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.962138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes15c4,828$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.0910624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes3c4,444$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.323132.3%10 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+71.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c4,380$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes17c4,289$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes18c4,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7109819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes18c3,250$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.041,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked Yes16c3,127$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006141%25 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes1c3,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.748951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes18c2,793$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007838.5%30 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes15c2,738$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes17c2,716$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.682,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…f7fbbacked Yes18c2,667$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No79c2,640$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.344854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes3c2,553$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.131468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Yes12c2,520$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.418929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes6c2,368$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469944.4%44 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes18c2,198$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked No80c2,172$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.5411637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Yes18c2,169$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3943139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9a…09a5backed Yes2c2,125$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…f5b9backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004020%8 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes1c2,057$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid+277.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes6c2,049$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13115040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4267…4ccebacked Yes1c2,041$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307327.4%20 W · 53 L-0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes16c2,028$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14058926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes18c1,850$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Yes18c1,698$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6113837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf837…bd42backed Yes12c1,688$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.982955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf6…20d7backed Yes18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…4e0dbacked Yes18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+55.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes18c1,517$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes18c1,492$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9128533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes14c1,489$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8277433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4284…dfbabacked Yes18c1,475$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes14c1,416$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes17c1,379$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.094526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes19c1,376$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c5…fffebacked Yes19c1,345$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes15c1,342$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f30…8df6backed Yes37c1,297$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.323265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked Yes16c1,274$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4818851.1%96 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed Yes24c1,253$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes17c1,250$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.732629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes17c1,181$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes2c1,136$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5173626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes16c1,126$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b3…8ef3backed Yes18c1,124$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yes14c1,120$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0643230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8879…b58fbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-68.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.982236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Yes18c1,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe7…34c3backed Yes15c1,055$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.254515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9753…9d8fbacked No73c1,016$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.278448.8%41 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes23c1,015$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4628435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.021,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.