Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e8815ad16f625e44463fa830a4963365b4c0aa1427f5f993e1954d2e3967e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Kentucky Wildcats, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 5,405$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.8 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 75c | 2,854$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.67 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Kentucky Wildcats | 36c | 2,209$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…aed4backed Kentucky Wildcats | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kentucky Wildcats | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 1,910$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 11c | 1,854$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Kentucky Wildcats | 65c | 1,740$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan State Spartans | 60c | 1,725$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.74 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 1,698$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.64 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 1,642$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.31 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Michigan State Spartans | 36c | 1,229$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 1,193$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.95 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Kentucky Wildcats | 27c | 1,176$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 1,157$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 1,050$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.4 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Michigan State Spartans | 58c | 1,025$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.02 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 974.65$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 17c | 961.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Kentucky Wildcats | 27c | 920.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Michigan State Spartans | 37c | 889.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.69 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 886.93$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 67c | 714.69$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682b…0103backed Kentucky Wildcats | 42c | 599.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Michigan State Spartans | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 406.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.94 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 402.12$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Michigan State Spartans | 66c | 366.39$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 360$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Michigan State Spartans | 37c | 359.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 348$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…53fdbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Kentucky Wildcats | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 43c | 283.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 238.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Michigan State Spartans | 38c | 224.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…cf53backed Kentucky Wildcats | 68c | 222.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…e2f4backed Kentucky Wildcats | 62c | 220$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Kentucky Wildcats | 27c | 217.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…ecf9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 194.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…38cabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 61c | 192.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Kentucky Wildcats | 18c | 166.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…73f3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Kentucky Wildcats | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Kentucky Wildcats | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 131.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 109.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…0bfcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 95.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 67c | 93.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…6d53backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…991abacked Michigan State Spartans | 27c | 70.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…137ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 66.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 62.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…432cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 59.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Michigan State Spartans | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…595dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Kentucky Wildcats | 61c | 54.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…9418backed Kentucky Wildcats | 25c | 52.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…ad9bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Michigan State Spartans | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kentucky Wildcats | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Michigan State Spartans | 64c | 48.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…208cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 74c | 47.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…47f7backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…4a57backed Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 43.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 26c | 42.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…5847backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…8588backed Kentucky Wildcats | 67c | 34.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 34.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…0ab8backed Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 32.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…e0b0backed Michigan State Spartans | 36c | 31.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…0d44backed Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 24.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…64ddbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…c75abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 72c | 22.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 152.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 153.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-4.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-5.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.