Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cce7a5152f89a0179d96c6c393538cc03b1c41efd755869ce6964ec5ebab849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gastonof Gueymard-Wayenburg, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 9c | 3,466$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 42c | 1,510$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.94 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 13c | 1,417$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…53fdbacked Gaston | 57c | 1,392$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 817.26$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.42 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 15c | 733.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 576.69$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Gaston | 57c | 427$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 19c | 382.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gaston | 59c | 365$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gaston | 59c | 320$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gaston | 60c | 314$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Gaston | 58c | 311.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 42c | 285.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gaston | 61c | 251$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked Gaston | 58c | 227$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 25c | 214.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 8c | 213.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 9c | 168.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gaston | 57c | 164.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 116.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gaston | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 81.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 22c | 76.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Gaston | 80c | 67.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Gaston | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 41c | 59.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gaston | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…0f2bbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Gaston | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gaston | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Gaston | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.