NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712f622170db5725fd93b6efd087abaf5b33f3eca5866a774f1f35ab8021f1bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 57c | 178,150$102,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,775.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Capitals | 55c | 177,777$97,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,999.65 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 45c | 129,530$58,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,933.57 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 45c | 71,405$32,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,083.67 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 54c | 60,000$32,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,600 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Islanders | 45c | 42,493$19,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,152.12 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 44c | 41,461$18,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,242.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Islanders | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.75 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Islanders | 44c | 10,836$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.84 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Islanders | 9c | 10,389$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.86 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Islanders | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 45c | 9,900$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 44c | 9,659$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.64 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Islanders | 45c | 8,965$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders | 43c | 8,961$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.69 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 53c | 6,705$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.57 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Islanders | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Capitals | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.42 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Islanders | 48c | 3,397$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Capitals | 56c | 3,338$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.52 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 16c | 3,256$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.94 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Capitals | 75c | 2,550$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 52c | 2,548$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.09 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 46c | 2,525$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.32 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Islanders | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 55c | 2,500$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Islanders | 45c | 2,187$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.19 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Islanders | 44c | 2,170$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Islanders | 39c | 2,155$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.09 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 53c | 2,151$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…db05backed Islanders | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…702fbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,128$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Capitals | 53c | 2,028$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.11 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Capitals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Islanders | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Islanders | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,818$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.41 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 15c | 1,583$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 45c | 1,578$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,572$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.88 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Islanders | 44c | 1,498$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.12 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Capitals | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Islanders | 44c | 1,467$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.48 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 52c | 1,410$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.17 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,272$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 44c | 1,252$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.33 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 79c | 1,202$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.15 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 45c | 1,189$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 44c | 1,101$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.44 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Islanders | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 45c | 1,009$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.14 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 74c | 992.33$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 52c | 913.03$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.26 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 68c | 900.38$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Islanders | 22c | 900.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.57 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Capitals | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Capitals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Islanders | 11c | 879.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Capitals | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Capitals | 54c | 738.04$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Capitals | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.67 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 44c | 660.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 7c | 619.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Islanders | 45c | 606$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 55c | 592$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a79…b116backed Capitals | 58c | 588.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Capitals | 53c | 569.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Islanders | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…71c8backed Islanders | 46c | 514.73$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…6882backed Islanders | 45c | 512.64$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Capitals | 54c | 506.44$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…a1d9backed Capitals | 54c | 501.03$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Islanders | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Islanders | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Capitals | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Islanders | 7c | 495.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4070…fc52backed Capitals | 54c | 485.41$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…c36bbacked Capitals | 54c | 479.35$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…5addbacked Capitals | 55c | 473.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…f7b1backed Islanders | 46c | 465.22$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…10e2backed Islanders | 48c | 465$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…4a38backed Capitals | 54c | 462.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Islanders | 6c | 450.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…7a85backed Islanders | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…a45bbacked Capitals | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…1bffbacked Islanders | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 44c | 447.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…c20dbacked Capitals | 53c | 440$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Islandersthis page
- Capitals vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.