CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ebd0eb13dfe4cdc449bf11bb3ffd4761acf40e472fd7543ade161505317754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Astralis, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MOUZ | 68c | 57,862$39,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,273.14 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 67c | 53,433$35,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,632.89 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Astralis | 33c | 39,980$13,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,183.65 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Astralis | 9c | 29,471$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.04 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Astralis | 13c | 28,013$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.66 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Astralis | 9c | 26,042$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.53 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed MOUZ | 67c | 20,641$13,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Astralis | 33c | 18,753$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 13c | 18,034$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.35 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 32c | 12,778$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.92 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Astralis | 31c | 12,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ | 68c | 11,000$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.98 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Astralis | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Astralis | 34c | 9,824$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.01 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ | 66c | 8,500$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Astralis | 33c | 7,817$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.87 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Astralis | 29c | 6,760$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.32 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Astralis | 33c | 6,662$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Astralis | 29c | 6,531$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.47 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed MOUZ | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.98 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ | 79c | 6,017$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.33 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Astralis | 33c | 5,042$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.86 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 73c | 4,904$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.65 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…9fb7backed Astralis | 30c | 4,751$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Astralis | 34c | 4,043$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Astralis | 32c | 4,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 73c | 4,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Astralis | 33c | 3,844$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Astralis | 32c | 3,737$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,486$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Astralis | 28c | 3,340$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.35 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Astralis | 15c | 3,220$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.29 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Astralis | 33c | 3,185$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 75c | 3,144$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.16 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Astralis | 27c | 3,010$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.98 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Astralis | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Astralis | 36c | 2,999$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.68 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Astralis | 32c | 2,950$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.48 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Astralis | 38c | 2,901$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Astralis | 29c | 2,900$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 18c | 2,805$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Astralis | 34c | 2,773$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.82 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 31c | 2,761$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.37 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 32c | 2,520$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astralis | 31c | 2,421$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.6 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis | 33c | 2,417$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.21 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 2,279$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.48 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 67c | 2,036$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.77 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed MOUZ | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed MOUZ | 70c | 1,980$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Astralis | 33c | 1,966$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 78c | 1,783$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.86 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Astralis | 34c | 1,606$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.27 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Astralis | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Astralis | 19c | 1,584$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ | 75c | 1,537$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 24c | 1,507$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.57 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Astralis | 23c | 1,490$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 79c | 1,450$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.77 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Astralis | 31c | 1,405$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.59 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 31c | 1,384$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.19 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,373$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.1 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,314$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,208$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.28 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Astralis | 32c | 1,128$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.72 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 9c | 1,127$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…e030backed Astralis | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,060$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Astralis | 13c | 1,035$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Astralis | 30c | 1,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed MOUZ | 77c | 999.99$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Astralis | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…d6a1backed Astralis | 35c | 909.94$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Astralis | 29c | 896.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 894.02$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.02 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 25c | 871.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Astralis | 29c | 862.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Astralis | 12c | 815.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Astralis | 35c | 788.89$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Astralis | 32c | 788.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Astralis | 14c | 780.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed Astralis | 30c | 779.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.89 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked MOUZ | 65c | 765.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.15 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 66c | 760.44$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked MOUZ | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed MOUZ | 67c | 747$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed MOUZ | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed MOUZ | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Astralis | 35c | 704.57$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…89f5backed Astralis | 20c | 685.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Astralis | 20c | 649.03$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Astralis | 34c | 609.96$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed Astralis | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…33f0backed Astralis | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed Astralis | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Astralis | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Astralis | 25c | 599$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.