Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb3725dc916cfc0c0b2017e01628b69bbe826779790e4ac96efd9ac6b050794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Lorenzo Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,357,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,394,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,357,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Lorenzo Musetti | 40c | 143,415$58,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,021 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…bd42backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 118,952$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rafael Jodar | 60c | 84,320$50,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,408.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Lorenzo Musetti | 39c | 54,944$21,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,428.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Rafael Jodar | 46c | 42,635$19,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,210.26 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Rafael Jodar | 66c | 35,220$23,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,958.81 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 43c | 34,626$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rafael Jodar | 66c | 32,673$21,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,078.23 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Rafael Jodar | 46c | 31,167$14,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,680.13 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rafael Jodar | 60c | 22,809$13,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,074.17 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Lorenzo Musetti | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Rafael Jodar | 52c | 17,367$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,366.84 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.03 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Lorenzo Musetti | 19c | 15,641$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.82 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Lorenzo Musetti | 48c | 15,297$7,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,398.83 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rafael Jodar | 62c | 13,015$8,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.48 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Lorenzo Musetti | 38c | 11,500$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.92 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Rafael Jodar | 55c | 10,616$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.65 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Musetti | 36c | 10,515$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lorenzo Musetti | 36c | 9,960$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.64 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Rafael Jodar | 28c | 9,768$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.72 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…092fbacked Rafael Jodar | 63c | 9,565$6,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.84 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Musetti | 40c | 9,506$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 56c | 8,947$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 66c | 8,232$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.93 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rafael Jodar | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Rafael Jodar | 49c | 7,322$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.46 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Rafael Jodar | 64c | 6,736$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.78 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 37c | 6,530$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.1 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Rafael Jodar | 58c | 6,419$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.91 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 6,222$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.66 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Musetti | 52c | 6,073$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.88 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Rafael Jodar | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Rafael Jodar | 56c | 5,859$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.97 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Rafael Jodar | 43c | 5,830$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.23 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Rafael Jodar | 67c | 5,277$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.23 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 5,210$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…3167backed Rafael Jodar | 51c | 5,187$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Rafael Jodar | 38c | 5,040$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lorenzo Musetti | 11c | 4,874$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.56 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Lorenzo Musetti | 10c | 4,118$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.76 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Rafael Jodar | 61c | 3,991$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Rafael Jodar | 48c | 3,419$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.27 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rafael Jodar | 65c | 3,404$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.85 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Lorenzo Musetti | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rafael Jodar | 62c | 3,199$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.75 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Rafael Jodar | 65c | 3,080$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Rafael Jodar | 46c | 3,039$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.11 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Rafael Jodar | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Rafael Jodar | 48c | 2,919$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.81 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 62c | 2,806$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Lorenzo Musetti | 9c | 2,689$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Rafael Jodar | 55c | 2,675$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.71 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Lorenzo Musetti | 38c | 2,672$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.47 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Musetti | 55c | 2,628$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.03 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 2,539$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.82 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 2,514$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.1 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 2,500$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.68 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rafael Jodar | 53c | 2,500$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.29 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 2,294$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.72 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rafael Jodar | 54c | 2,180$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…dfc2backed Rafael Jodar | 63c | 2,082$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Rafael Jodar | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 1,985$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.58 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885b…a30dbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 74c | 1,983$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.71 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Musetti | 47c | 1,894$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.95 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 1,878$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.17 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rafael Jodar | 63c | 1,851$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.19 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Lorenzo Musetti | 42c | 1,785$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.75 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Musetti | 38c | 1,758$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.49 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Rafael Jodar | 42c | 1,724$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Lorenzo Musetti | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Lorenzo Musetti | 48c | 1,646$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.91 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…746ebacked Rafael Jodar | 38c | 1,645$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Rafael Jodar | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.7 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Rafael Jodar | 42c | 1,442$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.67 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rafael Jodar | 43c | 1,419$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.05 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Lorenzo Musetti | 24c | 1,412$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Rafael Jodar | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 40c | 1,375$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Rafael Jodar | 71c | 1,300$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.68 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Lorenzo Musetti | 28c | 1,282$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.12 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Rafael Jodar | 42c | 1,214$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.87 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Rafael Jodar | 54c | 1,199$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.95 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Lorenzo Musetti | 45c | 1,186$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.29 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked Rafael Jodar | 48c | 1,141$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Rafael Jodar | 35c | 1,139$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.13 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Lorenzo Musetti | 63c | 1,115$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.98 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Lorenzo Musetti | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Rafael Jodar | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…a888backed Lorenzo Musetti | 20c | 1,001$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Rafael Jodar | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Rafael Jodar | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.62 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Rafael Jodar | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Rafael Jodar | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Lorenzo Musetti | 36c | 999$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Rafael Jodar | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…c1a9backed Rafael Jodar | 50c | 981$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettithis page
- Jodar vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Musetti: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs MusettiMusetti won
- Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs MusettiJodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5)Musetti won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.