TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Academyof Grêmio Esports, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26d6…56efbacked Grêmio Esports44c4,465$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.7811249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked paiN Academy54c3,706$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.51,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed paiN Academy54c2,967$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.1921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Grêmio Esports40c2,488$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.122,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grêmio Esports27c1,883$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.817,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x297e…3fefbacked paiN Academy58c1,750$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN Academy75c1,021$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.791,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Grêmio Esports43c999.57$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.492,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Grêmio Esports22c990$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN Academy67c873.97$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.631,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Grêmio Esports46c803.7$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.712343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Grêmio Esports45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Grêmio Esports58c643.44$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed paiN Academy45c523.67$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed paiN Academy47c510$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.448851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked paiN Academy47c425.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Grêmio Esports49c411.28$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.552,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Grêmio Esports38c368.54$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.062,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN Academy66c331.83$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Academy49c321.55$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.055,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Grêmio Esports34c301.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8620440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked paiN Academy47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15891945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Grêmio Esports53c289.21$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8919152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN Academy67c272.81$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.422,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Grêmio Esports19c272.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.053,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed Grêmio Esports10c247.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268643%37 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…b9d9backed Grêmio Esports22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed paiN Academy51c222.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.079146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Grêmio Esports29c222$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7838032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed paiN Academy47c219.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.551,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed paiN Academy46c215.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.214136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed paiN Academy63c206$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.222343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Grêmio Esports53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.772,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy73c188.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.384,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed paiN Academy76c171.41$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.145766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Grêmio Esports21c151.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5737922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked paiN Academy67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.615060.7%91 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed paiN Academy48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7829246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked paiN Academy47c144.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5232458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked paiN Academy55c141.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed paiN Academy48c134$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.682245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports53c124$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.172,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Grêmio Esports46c119.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0879951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Grêmio Esports35c113.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.464,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed paiN Academy67c112$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8840666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c5…7205backed paiN Academy46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed paiN Academy77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2362248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Grêmio Esports46c98.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1772353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy75c98.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.692,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Grêmio Esports46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Grêmio Esports43c97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.342,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Grêmio Esports49c96.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.234742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Grêmio Esports46c89.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3626048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Grêmio Esports46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…0c3dbacked Grêmio Esports46c85.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Grêmio Esports39c82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1168659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Grêmio Esports30c81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2610438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked paiN Academy63c79.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3638469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed paiN Academy49c76.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8322942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Grêmio Esports14c75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed paiN Academy55c72.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8532054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed paiN Academy47c68.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0916754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN Academy46c65.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed paiN Academy46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.031,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked paiN Academy52c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4865548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…1129backed paiN Academy59c63.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.866141%25 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked Grêmio Esports59c63.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3625250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Grêmio Esports28c61.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3841853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a2…1abdbacked Grêmio Esports25c60.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed paiN Academy51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4588330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports27c57.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports34c57.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.251,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e2…40b6backed Grêmio Esports26c56.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed paiN Academy52c56.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.966251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2753…bb34backed paiN Academy52c55.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.783751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Grêmio Esports28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked paiN Academy47c50.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8811155%61 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Grêmio Esports44c50.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.084,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…f218backed paiN Academy55c50.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.684658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked paiN Academy46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Grêmio Esports20c49.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1412531.2%39 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy53c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.692,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf07b…def2backed Grêmio Esports53c46.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255851.7%30 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed paiN Academy52c46.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1125635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN Academy59c45.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.572,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Grêmio Esports46c42.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed paiN Academy79c40.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6212455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked paiN Academy76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Grêmio Esports51c39.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Grêmio Esports37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.438836.4%32 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed paiN Academy47c36.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1237848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce1…e289backed paiN Academy78c35.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.943876.3%29 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed paiN Academy49c32.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked Grêmio Esports64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.752,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed paiN Academy68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4141372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN Academy66c28.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffb3…fc52backed Grêmio Esports53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Grêmio Esports46c26.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2435141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN Academy67c25.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.