CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb837cb12a70202eb1ab24d6ca6cae4a999fa91a00ed9ea6da0a4614436d711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 3,177$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed paiN Academy | 66c | 2,949$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.52 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Grêmio Esports | 58c | 1,205$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN Academy | 47c | 1,028$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.05 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Grêmio Esports | 59c | 1,013$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grêmio Esports | 41c | 978.5$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.11 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked paiN Academy | 55c | 939.36$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.34 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed paiN Academy | 42c | 780$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Academy | 33c | 432.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 354.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Grêmio Esports | 50c | 352.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Grêmio Esports | 31c | 299.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports | 48c | 294.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked paiN Academy | 36c | 255$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Academy | 35c | 254.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked paiN Academy | 50c | 243.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Grêmio Esports | 47c | 233$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy | 52c | 227$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Grêmio Esports | 65c | 222.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Grêmio Esports | 30c | 213.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed paiN Academy | 57c | 202.03$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked paiN Academy | 39c | 163.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 57c | 159.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 152.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked paiN Academy | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN Academy | 49c | 141.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed paiN Academy | 73c | 137.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Grêmio Esports | 64c | 131.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grêmio Esports | 35c | 122$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Grêmio Esports | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed paiN Academy | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked paiN Academy | 51c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 104.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…8cecbacked paiN Academy | 55c | 102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Grêmio Esports | 46c | 100.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked paiN Academy | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Grêmio Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Grêmio Esports | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN Academy | 39c | 96.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN Academy | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Grêmio Esports | 45c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed paiN Academy | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Grêmio Esports | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Academy | 31c | 81.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed paiN Academy | 58c | 63.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 39c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed paiN Academy | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed paiN Academy | 28c | 44.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked paiN Academy | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked paiN Academy | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN Academy | 43c | 37.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Grêmio Esports | 58c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…b9d9backed Grêmio Esports | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Grêmio Esports | 75c | 30.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed paiN Academy | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grêmio Esports | 44c | 28.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed paiN Academy | 68c | 24.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked paiN Academy | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Grêmio Esports | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…51b6backed paiN Academy | 67c | 16.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.