CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe506e18383cd0f5397857521f34c1e87d2cdd66cc678f336cac0d248112f661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Grêmio Esports, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN Academy | 32c | 1,466$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.55 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed paiN Academy | 61c | 976.5$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.24 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN Academy | 71c | 875.61$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grêmio Esports | 13c | 790$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Grêmio Esports | 79c | 659.08$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.26 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 36c | 651.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grêmio Esports | 64c | 592.77$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN Academy | 45c | 576.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grêmio Esports | 37c | 519.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed paiN Academy | 30c | 517.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.11 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN Academy | 64c | 351.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Grêmio Esports | 49c | 275.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Grêmio Esports | 59c | 270$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grêmio Esports | 30c | 202.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grêmio Esports | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 235 | 37.9%89 W · 146 L | -16.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Grêmio Esports | 75c | 190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Grêmio Esports | 12c | 188.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grêmio Esports | 55c | 174$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy | 51c | 171.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Grêmio Esports | 62c | 171.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed paiN Academy | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 48c | 166.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grêmio Esports | 65c | 163$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed paiN Academy | 50c | 156.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Grêmio Esports | 67c | 146$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Academy | 49c | 129.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed paiN Academy | 18c | 126.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grêmio Esports | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grêmio Esports | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed paiN Academy | 32c | 100.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked paiN Academy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 97.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grêmio Esports | 43c | 89.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Grêmio Esports | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed paiN Academy | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 53.1%103 W · 91 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked paiN Academy | 42c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Grêmio Esports | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed paiN Academy | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked paiN Academy | 36c | 47.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Grêmio Esports | 64c | 45.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked paiN Academy | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…da12backed Grêmio Esports | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Grêmio Esports | 61c | 36.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grêmio Esports | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Grêmio Esports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Grêmio Esports | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Grêmio Esports | 66c | 20.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Grêmio Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.