Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e925bd5363d9822b96dff4d4390cd97a07a5a6411e7895b3acfc5693fda5a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 39c | 15,580$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 11,436$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 63c | 5,555$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.35 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed No | 61c | 4,613$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.43 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 63c | 2,650$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.33 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 61c | 1,802$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 31c | 1,603$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.88 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 62c | 1,250$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.54 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 968.19$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.59 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 69c | 780$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 39c | 604$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 63c | 545.26$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 494.82$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 281.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 62c | 274.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 216.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 36c | 211.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 31c | 190.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 62c | 186.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 164.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 138.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 64c | 137.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…b897backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 67c | 111.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 68c | 110.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 69c | 97.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…ac89backed No | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…bb34backed Yes | 32c | 60.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 60.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 51.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 45.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…c18cbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 62c | 35.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 63c | 27.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…b46cbacked Yes | 39c | 25.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…be4fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to win the second half?this page
- Switzerland to win the second half?No won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.