Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc9a22b0e325f1d15e61ba118f0dbb49973696ce32bb29e1d5a923892a0723b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 3,165$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 974.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 70c | 417.2$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 25c | 395.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 76c | 292.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 74c | 278.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 77c | 269.3$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 262.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 73c | 243.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 24c | 213.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 201.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…5b63backed Yes | 22c | 173.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…ac89backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 152.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…73d8backed No | 76c | 112.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 76c | 108.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 72c | 67.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…9bf8backed No | 74c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland to win the second half?this page
- Colombia to win the second half?No won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.