MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502b06a037eac51ddcf30e45097cf0c98aefc8069e9672e704c161190d053c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 71,998$35,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 66,661$33,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,494.82 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 41,287$15,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,072.24 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 37,158$18,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,642.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 32,339$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 21,373$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,451.49 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 18,619$9,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,512.93 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 18,279$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,239.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 17,700$9,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,027 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 17,640$8,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,112.8 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 14,777$7,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,387.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 12,312$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 9,860$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 5,635$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 4,913$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.7 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,913$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.39 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 4,777$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 4,014$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.84 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,937$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.09 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,479$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.33 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.33 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,279$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.14 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,170$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…de2abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,820$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,807$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.91 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,805$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.78 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,773$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.6 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…f0abbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,749$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,611$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,402$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.3 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,365$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.08 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.32 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,157$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,109$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.37 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,098$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.47 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,093$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,076$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,043$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.35 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 1,021$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 999.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.66 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 990.75$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 985.8$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.53 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 963.59$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 950.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 949.43$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 936.65$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.96 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 905.81$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 833.42$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 755.75$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 754.64$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 713.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 709.37$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 665.44$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 595.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 590$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 581.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 574.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 562.43$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 537.14$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 504.05$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 504$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 500.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 500.04$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…c215backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 476.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 459.88$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 441$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 413.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 410.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 404.18$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 403.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 403.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 401.39$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 388.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…fa85backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 385.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 377.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.01 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 356$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 339.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 334.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 327.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 311.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 310.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.