TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof FURIA Esports, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked MIBR74c41,128$30,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,718.8317948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FURIA Esports26c16,640$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,283.6925554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA Esports25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.986038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports32c9,436$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.5393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports29c6,163$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.4633153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA Esports15c6,146$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.8626738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed MIBR71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7407164.8%46 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR71c5,833$4,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.0540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed FURIA Esports18c5,472$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports26c5,088$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.2868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports26c4,852$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.9253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports26c3,012$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked MIBR74c3,005$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked MIBR75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed MIBR73c2,792$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.3315358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed FURIA Esports35c2,139$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.9315038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed FURIA Esports26c2,058$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54018641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed MIBR75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50063955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR80c1,953$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.0665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed FURIA Esports37c1,870$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed MIBR71c1,630$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.519040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports26c1,460$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FURIA Esports28c1,292$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6128143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports22c1,265$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.611,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed MIBR80c1,261$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8149255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked FURIA Esports26c1,016$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.064845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked FURIA Esports26c1,016$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.062751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FURIA Esports28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28026447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked MIBR74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604269%29 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports26c993.97$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b2…f2d7backed MIBR75c925.52$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA Esports20c830$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked FURIA Esports20c801.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed MIBR72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR73c791.19$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports26c714.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.756357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR75c705.6$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports27c700$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5624250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MIBR76c656.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7618056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR69c612.91$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR71c603$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.511,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA Esports27c600.19$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7927145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked FURIA Esports26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MIBR71c520$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4160154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked MIBR73c513.84$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0712550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed MIBR71c504.82$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8722344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed MIBR71c504.01$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1915147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed MIBR73c500.1$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0325453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked MIBR74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR67c485.33$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1646347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed MIBR77c470.32$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.728852.3%46 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked MIBR73c454.72$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.722650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed MIBR67c430.09$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked FURIA Esports26c430$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.86747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports20c426.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1769722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MIBR74c425.84$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0832462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MIBR75c401.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed FURIA Esports26c380.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1117948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FURIA Esports26c357$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9655637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR75c344.3$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed MIBR75c333.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8323463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked FURIA Esports25c327.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3116420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports28c308$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2486747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked MIBR71c302.44$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4414552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA Esports6c302.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed FURIA Esports27c295.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5328252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked MIBR70c290.38$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0328743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR73c287.05$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.711,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed MIBR71c271.8$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1814852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR75c250.71$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.271,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked FURIA Esports16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked FURIA Esports27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.59737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed MIBR70c238.49$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.552766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48f2…88e1backed FURIA Esports21c230.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.121758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed FURIA Esports21c221.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed MIBR69c206.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.33348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed MIBR73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed MIBR75c187.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.555937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR77c186.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.821,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6908…d2f4backed MIBR75c186.63$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.582832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed MIBR79c172.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9116144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR71c172.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed MIBR69c170.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9963447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…98cdbacked MIBR71c162.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.862536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports18c143.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed FURIA Esports27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.816050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed MIBR73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked MIBR75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked MIBR67c129.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.796038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed FURIA Esports17c125.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked FURIA Esports27c122.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.052853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed FURIA Esports17c115.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked FURIA Esports26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed FURIA Esports16c112.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed MIBR70c108$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8816963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed FURIA Esports30c105.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7215931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked FURIA Esports26c105.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3516452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR76c104.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…c576backed MIBR65c104.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.