TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0993…525fbacked FURIA Esports54c37,500$20,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,2503767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked MIBR46c34,934$16,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,877.6217948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA Esports55c12,836$7,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,039.3728955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed MIBR45c4,276$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked MIBR45c3,835$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.514955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked MIBR45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6507550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed MIBR47c2,600$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.6721457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR46c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed MIBR45c1,972$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.863046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA Esports55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82516952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed FURIA Esports52c1,492$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6525554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports61c1,467$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.4456551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked MIBR45c1,398$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.121050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed MIBR48c1,381$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.066229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked MIBR45c1,319$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3616347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked FURIA Esports55c1,272$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.64161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports55c774.7$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4363955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82a…1101backed FURIA Esports56c771.62$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked MIBR43c760.48$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.471553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked MIBR50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked FURIA Esports50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked FURIA Esports55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed MIBR53c509$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed MIBR44c500.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5420160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked MIBR47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.256636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed FURIA Esports47c499.01$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.533253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FURIA Esports54c472.07$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9225556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked FURIA Esports56c471.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.932650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports53c470.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24926450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed MIBR46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2435341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed FURIA Esports56c444.49$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.911850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked FURIA Esports55c422.02$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9424551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed MIBR45c400.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.597855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1e…64d0backed MIBR50c393.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed FURIA Esports55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA Esports55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MIBR45c295.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7215342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed MIBR45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.678955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed MIBR47c260.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.147646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked FURIA Esports52c230.05$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7512550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked MIBR46c218.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.137244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42cd…2359backed MIBR48c209.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.732157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed MIBR49c205.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.574052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked MIBR45c151.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.541631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked FURIA Esports55c150.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.411957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked FURIA Esports58c135.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.383961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked MIBR45c122.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.934443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked FURIA Esports56c121.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1110846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed FURIA Esports56c114$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed MIBR45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115050%25 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe863…52febacked FURIA Esports56c110.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed FURIA Esports56c108.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0325347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked FURIA Esports54c99.22$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.586561.5%40 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed FURIA Esports56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc545…3e4cbacked FURIA Esports56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked FURIA Esports55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed FURIA Esports55c75.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3863447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1691…347abacked FURIA Esports56c73.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed MIBR45c71.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed MIBR45c71.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.112060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked MIBR46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2216839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed MIBR45c63.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.15349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed MIBR46c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.484932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked MIBR63c61.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9222352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked MIBR43c61.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked MIBR48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.646946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1672…4002backed MIBR46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed MIBR46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2725146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FURIA Esports53c40.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6649255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked FURIA Esports55c36.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.775865.5%38 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa01f…8192backed FURIA Esports56c35.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9581…43c6backed MIBR45c32.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…0986backed FURIA Esports56c32.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MIBR47c30.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1969722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed FURIA Esports53c28.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.093265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked FURIA Esports53c26.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0520051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eab…2caabacked FURIA Esports56c25.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x194b…2a11backed FURIA Esports56c25.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+47.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed MIBR45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked FURIA Esports55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked MIBR44c23.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed FURIA Esports57c22.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7123745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked FURIA Esports52c21.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9116451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked FURIA Esports56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.