TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, SportsBetExpert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ea…f74abacked SportsBetExpert20c7,345$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.5625344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NRG79c7,225$5,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.1792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked SportsBetExpert22c4,972$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.1549536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4299…10ccbacked SportsBetExpert21c4,111$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.311844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed SportsBetExpert20c4,000$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8817…2c2ebacked SportsBetExpert7c2,938$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed NRG77c2,703$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.5817951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed SportsBetExpert20c2,429$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.517052.4%89 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed SportsBetExpert20c2,370$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48222943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed SportsBetExpert20c2,149$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6850%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SportsBetExpert8c2,046$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.621,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SportsBetExpert20c1,911$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3180942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SportsBetExpert13c1,661$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.733,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked NRG79c1,490$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.911546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed NRG80c1,238$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.681,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed NRG80c1,011$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1946555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed NRG80c937.5$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.559755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SportsBetExpert21c888.88$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.665,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed NRG80c883.12$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6425845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG80c873.18$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.642,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed SportsBetExpert20c840$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed SportsBetExpert20c726$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3833627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked SportsBetExpert21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed NRG78c654.99$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.174054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed SportsBetExpert23c621.04$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.841921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked NRG74c594.66$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fe…324abacked SportsBetExpert18c567.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed SportsBetExpert21c475$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed SportsBetExpert11c328$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6215349.7%76 W · 77 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SportsBetExpert15c306.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.122,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed NRG80c300.72$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6799148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed NRG80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SportsBetExpert19c299.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SportsBetExpert22c294.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.742,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5668…9af4backed SportsBetExpert11c280.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed NRG78c256.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7922567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed NRG80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SportsBetExpert14c244$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.832,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed SportsBetExpert20c235.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2737848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SportsBetExpert10c232.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.312,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed SportsBetExpert7c220.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.031,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG79c215.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1861054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed NRG78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4435861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked NRG79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4217545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef2…44c9backed SportsBetExpert20c166.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.373141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed SportsBetExpert20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.414344.1%63 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed NRG77c152.87$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1647054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed NRG79c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.536057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked SportsBetExpert21c134$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.111421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed SportsBetExpert19c129.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1469445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked SportsBetExpert20c129$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed NRG78c128.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5926075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed SportsBetExpert22c127.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SportsBetExpert12c127.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked SportsBetExpert21c125.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4619457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed NRG80c118.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7521947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SportsBetExpert16c117$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed SportsBetExpert19c115.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.032536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed SportsBetExpert20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…c576backed SportsBetExpert20c108.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.713441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed SportsBetExpert19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed SportsBetExpert20c105.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2329246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SportsBetExpert17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1775833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed NRG80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2065946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed SportsBetExpert21c83.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.465448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed SportsBetExpert20c82.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed SportsBetExpert27c82.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.142227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed NRG80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1583856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SportsBetExpert23c71.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed SportsBetExpert20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103625%9 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked NRG78c48.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5151252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NRG78c47.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed NRG80c46.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2510356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed NRG79c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.632554.8%178 W · 147 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked NRG79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.425551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed NRG80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.523963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked NRG80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.256051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked NRG80c27.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5542255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f3…d91ebacked NRG80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a8…e8c5backed NRG80c22.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0165…d91bbacked NRG80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed NRG72c16.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.561,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.