CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473022867207797756cc2c77b5267767cbfa1ccb53c4295061b132e0925db9fc

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NRGof NRG, SportsBetExpert
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,020 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked SportsBetExpert	48c	13,560$6,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,508.61	756	52.6%398 W · 358 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed SportsBetExpert	49c	11,662$5,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,714.6	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NRG	52c	11,056$5,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,279.65	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NRG	52c	9,920$5,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,805.02	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked SportsBetExpert	49c	8,607$4,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,215.41	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked NRG	52c	6,298$3,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,026	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed NRG	51c	3,996$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,957.84	219	53.4%117 W · 102 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NRG	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG	52c	2,316$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.24	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SportsBetExpert	43c	1,857$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.71	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NRG	57c	1,720$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.28	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed NRG	51c	1,069$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.4	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked SportsBetExpert	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.8	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked SportsBetExpert	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed NRG	51c	999$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.51	233	56.2%131 W · 102 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked SportsBetExpert	44c	932.32$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.44	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked NRG	51c	610$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.9	303	49.8%151 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked SportsBetExpert	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-9.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed SportsBetExpert	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked NRG	50c	499.98$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.99	259	44.8%116 W · 143 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed SportsBetExpert	50c	400$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	559	41%229 W · 330 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed SportsBetExpert	49c	392.18$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.17	611	54.7%334 W · 277 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed NRG	51c	381.25$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.81	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed NRG	51c	380.94$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.66	610	54.9%335 W · 275 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed NRG	55c	364.3$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.06	2,009	53.9%1,082 W · 927 L	+7.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed SportsBetExpert	53c	358.68$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.34	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed SportsBetExpert	44c	314.96$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.9	213	51.2%109 W · 104 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed SportsBetExpert	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	405	58.8%238 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed SportsBetExpert	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	991	48.3%479 W · 512 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed NRG	52c	299.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.99	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NRG	49c	239.97$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.43	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed NRG	51c	199.8$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.9	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed SportsBetExpert	44c	197$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.68	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked SportsBetExpert	49c	190.76$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.62	422	55.7%235 W · 187 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed SportsBetExpert	49c	180.74$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.56	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked SportsBetExpert	51c	164.04$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed SportsBetExpert	45c	162.37$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.54	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed SportsBetExpert	45c	157.72$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.72	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed NRG	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	358	61.7%221 W · 137 L	+18.3wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed NRG	52c	125.97$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.47	263	46.4%122 W · 141 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed SportsBetExpert	49c	123$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.27	143	56.6%81 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked NRG	51c	115$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.35	655	48.9%320 W · 335 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked SportsBetExpert	45c	107.23$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	202	48%97 W · 105 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed SportsBetExpert	48c	105.13$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.87	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed NRG	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa518…47e6backed SportsBetExpert	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…d837backed SportsBetExpert	50c	93.74$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed SportsBetExpert	48c	91$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked SportsBetExpert	48c	85.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	359	47.9%172 W · 187 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked SportsBetExpert	44c	85.63$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.68	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed NRG	47c	81.74$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked SportsBetExpert	44c	77.18$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.96	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed NRG	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	838	56.1%470 W · 368 L	+31.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x824a…3952backed SportsBetExpert	50c	70.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	141	39.7%56 W · 85 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed SportsBetExpert	50c	68.65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked NRG	52c	67.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SportsBetExpert	50c	67.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed SportsBetExpert	45c	65.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.16	686	59.5%408 W · 278 L	+65.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked SportsBetExpert	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	209	57.4%120 W · 89 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47ca…e92bbacked NRG	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	146	58.2%85 W · 61 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed SportsBetExpert	47c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed SportsBetExpert	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c62…ca89backed NRG	49c	39.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7814…9c0bbacked NRG	52c	38.58$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.58	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked SportsBetExpert	38c	37.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked SportsBetExpert	45c	37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	238	35.3%84 W · 154 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eab…2caabacked SportsBetExpert	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194b…2a11backed SportsBetExpert	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d47…9383backed NRG	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+107.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed SportsBetExpert	49c	28.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	186	63.4%118 W · 68 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed SportsBetExpert	47c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	24	50%12 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed NRG	52c	27.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.43	217	50.7%110 W · 107 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked NRG	52c	25.09$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.05	445	63.8%284 W · 161 L	+19.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed NRG	62c	24.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.33	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff0fbacked SportsBetExpert	49c	22.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed NRG	56c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	234	65%152 W · 82 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed NRG	52c	21.78$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.47	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed SportsBetExpert	52c	20.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked NRG	50c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	850	54.4%462 W · 388 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589f…2fe4backed NRG	51c	20.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked NRG	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked NRG	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5012…9a5cbacked SportsBetExpert	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	116	61.2%71 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsNRG won
Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event