TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x589f…2fe4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.9
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.35
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$43
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.67
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.78
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.25
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$7.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.19
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$27.15
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.88
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.18
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.28
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.54
National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila Osoriobacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
National Bank Open: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$5.35
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.31
ITF Gentofte: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Petr Nesterovbacked Carl Emil Overbeck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.66
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.59
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-72.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.85
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.01
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.05
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$71.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$9.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.