TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04e6…3914backed Under55c13,494$7,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,077.110463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over45c5,551$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.957138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Under53c4,742$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.967159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c4,451$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.891,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over39c4,330$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.8737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c66…76cdbacked Over47c1,505$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.441275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under51c1,410$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.846549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c1,402$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.4736750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c998$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8741145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under45c959$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c934.28$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.061,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over46c927$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9126953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c875.49$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2174942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under80c628.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.175967.8%40 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over49c618.54$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0815746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fe…aac5backed Under46c599.97$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.992646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over49c489.64$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c350$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1332750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under52c291.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1613249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c276$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over45c256.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.637241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c253.37$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3632540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c236.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4910548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over12c225.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.347451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba8…f50bbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over47c212.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over51c196.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008154.3%44 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfa…93aabacked Under54c188$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c182.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9789349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.25831%18 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under31c133.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1230347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under52c122.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.357945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4210345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under38c118.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4210244.1%45 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.922040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under63c103.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.378556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c102.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475651.8%29 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over46c94.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.918045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c93.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0534448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67d…6be7backed Over68c85.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under64c71.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1313355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under29c66.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.222440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under51c64.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.618640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over48c63.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.567147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdb…7857backed Under65c58.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.621776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under52c58.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.198836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under52c57.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9928558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c55.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under38c55.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2613138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under61c53.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Over28c52.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0315451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1957…0e20backed Over46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Under57c43.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.555066%33 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under33c43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9810853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over48c42.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.485844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c41.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0464152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…e23dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over69c38.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.342166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Under58c37.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c1c…d47dbacked Over67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under44c33.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6555255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ae…5310backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159851%50 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f1…324ebacked Over49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Over51c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.261560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under64c28.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over46c24.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.465168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9ea…15cbbacked Under55c24.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under69c23.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.183357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under59c21.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8919245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x589f…2fe4backed Under49c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under54c20.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over61c20.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.373345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under64c17.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under64c15.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.723158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.