WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a91fd049692cadf53b94de5fd143546bac0465be06f370182e3e75ab6d423c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 5,406$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.52 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed New York Liberty | 47c | 3,814$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.7 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 3,652$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.08 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,705$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed New York Liberty | 46c | 1,613$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.32 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 1,290$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.61 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Liberty | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 826.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 804.5$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.43 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 676.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.64 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 549.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed New York Liberty | 46c | 539.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 441.41$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 412.51$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.63 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 396.41$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty | 46c | 376.16$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.73 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 369.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 239.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed New York Liberty | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 209.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…bf62backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 204.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…528abacked New York Liberty | 47c | 187.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 172.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 170.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…c3ebbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 164.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed New York Liberty | 47c | 155.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty | 78c | 112.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 105.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 103.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed New York Liberty | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 55c | 96.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed New York Liberty | 52c | 94.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed New York Liberty | 47c | 90.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 85.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 81.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed New York Liberty | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 61.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 52.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 47.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…7933backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed New York Liberty | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed New York Liberty | 46c | 32.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…324ebacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 27.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed New York Liberty | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed New York Liberty | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…f900backed New York Liberty | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed New York Liberty | 58c | 19.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)this page
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.