TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over51c30,000$15,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,165.9510749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c16,133$7,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,211.6579648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under52c10,341$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,938.8810463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c5,246$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.331,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over61c3,774$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.0938940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.979042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd47b…35d7backed Over78c2,693$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under49c2,202$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9410838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under26c2,008$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.156455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over48c1,857$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.347338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Under49c1,600$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.653053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.9919847.5%94 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c1,338$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2142046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over47c1,250$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.55843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under51c1,096$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0114148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c1,008$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.0847246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c1,003$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.941051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Under25c999.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under34c980$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.851147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c943.83$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9214445.1%65 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under27c942.23$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.913661.8%84 W · 52 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c885.62$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0132849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c767.4$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2433839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c678.56$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.761,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under25c669.28$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.928836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under64c618.32$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0426147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over48c574.35$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6914942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Under55c499.96$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.981145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under55c449.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4816450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over49c410.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.129336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c353.86$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9390449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c307.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8732850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under53c276.38$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.197945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under21c271.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4431443%135 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under49c248.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9828758.5%168 W · 119 L+20.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under45c241.37$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6110854.6%59 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over46c239.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.393740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under37c205.19$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5222440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over48c198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0411357.5%65 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over48c179.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8836950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c169.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8393248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Under38c161.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under47c155.6$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9985158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7585948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67d…6be7backed Under73c135.66$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.631275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c131$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1929548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c128.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4823245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c125.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9435254.3%191 W · 161 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…002fbacked Under22c116.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.591050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c115.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.721,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Under51c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under52c100.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.099051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510743.9%47 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8310343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over64c96.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9331249.4%154 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Under44c96.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.953644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c80.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9571245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over57c77.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8619857.1%113 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under36c68.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3711053.6%59 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under26c63.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6441446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f4b…ba66backed Over30c60.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Over74c58.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9760%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over60c57.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.613355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under20c56.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0151552.6%271 W · 244 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under23c55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.253836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Under45c54.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0924255.4%134 W · 108 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55437%20 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518144.2%80 W · 101 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c49.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6315346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Under43c48.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under51c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.039348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over50c46.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.097147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1c…d47dbacked Over50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.324852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9121546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Under38c44.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over49c44.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7137650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over58c44.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over67c43.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.298640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Under30c40.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.071850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Over51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.898356.6%47 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under54c36.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.452075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3756…b936backed Under46c36.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Over45c35.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8913238.6%51 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under35c34.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.320440.7%83 W · 121 L-16.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ebe…6dccbacked Over50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Over48c33.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under41c28.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.662157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under41c28.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7119245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under46c27.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.178748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Under45c27.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.