WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840ea5f37c66258cf133468c4cf11dd28e46619a8d6ef2b187b663851c12fdc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 52c | 2,710$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 26c | 1,620$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.13 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 74c | 1,224$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.12 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.64 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Over | 52c | 956.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 49c | 932.05$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.48 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 51c | 606.22$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.86 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 467.65$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 52c | 395.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 352.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 314.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 299.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 51c | 269.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 48c | 240.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 227.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 219.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 202.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…a6dbbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c0…33d1backed Over | 52c | 185.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…cd28backed Over | 56c | 179.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 178.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 49c | 167.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Under | 49c | 156.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 50c | 99.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 83.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 77.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 47c | 75.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 42c | 70.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Under | 49c | 68.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 27c | 63.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 34c | 59.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 53c | 58.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…372bbacked Over | 53c | 46.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 45c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…56f0backed Over | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 44c | 33.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 33.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 30.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 52c | 29.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…900fbacked Over | 50c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 54c | 25.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 51c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 21.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 80c | 17.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5this page
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.