WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd1620f4e86453e3cac0975464a65e372f2a8f54ccb6af116dfcc307b5b42d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 15,230$7,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,612.59 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 13,360$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,680 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed New York Liberty | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 6,675$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,556$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.75 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 2,180$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,897$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.64 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,640$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 692.48$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.7 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 48c | 639.81$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.7 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 580.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed New York Liberty | 60c | 498.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 371.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 121.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed New York Liberty | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 50c | 88.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 84.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed New York Liberty | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 73.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 73.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…13febacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 35.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed New York Liberty | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 23.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 23.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed New York Liberty | 49c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…8188backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed New York Liberty | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)this page
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.