TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof Seattle Storm, New York Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Storm0c64,686$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6910923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Seattle Storm12c20,340$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.572626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm10c12,900$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.1899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Seattle Storm25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm25c7,501$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.4683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Storm0c4,292$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Liberty75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm9c3,893$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3774942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm6c2,546$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm10c1,862$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7519428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Storm24c1,384$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1419458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked New York Liberty75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.332669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd68a…0f2bbacked Seattle Storm19c1,289$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.12425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Seattle Storm12c1,259$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Seattle Storm14c1,057$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.092825%7 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Seattle Storm13c1,046$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1376643.9%29 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Seattle Storm1c1,009$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%6 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Seattle Storm25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked New York Liberty75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed New York Liberty65c905.1$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Storm19c885.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3441147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Storm9c875.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.273040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c66…76cdbacked New York Liberty75c773.33$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.331275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Seattle Storm4c766.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty75c756.26$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0619446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Seattle Storm24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked New York Liberty75c711.03$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.76580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed New York Liberty77c627.45$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.994751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Seattle Storm7c608.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Storm7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Seattle Storm14c583.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4610454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Liberty76c532$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8226953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed New York Liberty75c512.29$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.074951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Seattle Storm8c500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Seattle Storm25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Seattle Storm25c479$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7511156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Seattle Storm38c425$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.353534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Seattle Storm10c412.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.957945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa788…f6e8backed Seattle Storm25c385$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Storm26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Seattle Storm19c368.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Seattle Storm24c337.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.149336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty75c324.85$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed New York Liberty75c322.52$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.632055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty77c321.09$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8529654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Seattle Storm33c305$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.825541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…f873backed New York Liberty75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab2…4daabacked Seattle Storm17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb6…f7c4backed Seattle Storm17c274.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Storm25c260.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0828647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12dc…75a8backed Seattle Storm5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f5…44f2backed Seattle Storm22c254.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Seattle Storm12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Seattle Storm24c249.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2817946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed New York Liberty75c245.21$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.37138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Storm9c226.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7411841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Storm25c213$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.530734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm25c200.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed New York Liberty75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed New York Liberty80c183.92$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm25c176.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Storm22c141.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Seattle Storm14c139.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.492766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Seattle Storm16c133$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.376339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Seattle Storm27c131.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd09…42d9backed New York Liberty77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm13c125.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7632150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Seattle Storm11c124.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.228748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…28c5backed Seattle Storm25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Seattle Storm23c108.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6a…857abacked Seattle Storm25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268030%24 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed New York Liberty76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed New York Liberty76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked New York Liberty77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Seattle Storm24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked New York Liberty76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245651.8%29 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Seattle Storm15c98.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.173148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Seattle Storm25c92.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Storm19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.119142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Storm19c85.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1515741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Storm24c84.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5132750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed New York Liberty75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm18c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4536454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Seattle Storm26c73.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Seattle Storm34c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.484546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm22c68.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3632049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed New York Liberty76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7627…4f75backed New York Liberty76c65.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty75c63.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8723746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f2…9c52backed New York Liberty76c60.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae40…9edabacked Seattle Storm25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8032…db9fbacked New York Liberty75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefb…5b50backed Seattle Storm20c56.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.573727%10 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b8…4a59backed New York Liberty76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4d…60f8backed Seattle Storm24c52.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.671723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed New York Liberty78c50.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Storm23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.713745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Seattle Storm24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.794141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked New York Liberty76c46.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.057669.7%53 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed New York Liberty75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.