TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7627…4f75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.77
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$64.49
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$15.24
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.92
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$89.64
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$57.24
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.91
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Braden Shick vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.39
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougazbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roehampton 2: Faris Zakaria vs Alexis Gautierbacked Faris Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Adrienn Nagy vs Teodora Mironbacked Adrienn Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF W50 Prague Women: Alena Kovackova vs Jana Kovackovabacked Alena Kovackova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Kingston: Max Purcell vs Harold Mayotbacked Harold Mayot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.93
Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Peter Makkbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.4
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squirebacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hagen: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzschbacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squirebacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Priscilla Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Estoril Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$22.33
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.59
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.22
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Seattle Storm vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.61
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$7.88
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.88
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.28
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.05
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.