TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland Trail Blazersof Denver Nuggets, Portland Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1393…9cf8backed Denver Nuggets51c24,608$12,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,554.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Portland Trail Blazers56c17,701$9,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,787.424946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Portland Trail Blazers46c9,410$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,090.7614042.9%60 W · 80 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Denver Nuggets49c8,197$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.3942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Denver Nuggets40c8,000$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.0442640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Portland Trail Blazers51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.9915850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Portland Trail Blazers48c7,655$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,944.9211145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Denver Nuggets49c5,687$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.691957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portland Trail Blazers39c5,002$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.641,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Portland Trail Blazers75c4,835$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+219%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Denver Nuggets0c4,400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Denver Nuggets50c4,043$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.6221549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Portland Trail Blazers46c4,000$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.925954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Portland Trail Blazers51c3,814$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…85efbacked Denver Nuggets52c3,230$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Denver Nuggets2c3,100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Denver Nuggets34c3,060$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.081,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Portland Trail Blazers32c2,191$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Portland Trail Blazers47c2,137$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.0312048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Denver Nuggets29c2,110$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Denver Nuggets46c2,052$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.486437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Denver Nuggets49c1,894$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.217962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Portland Trail Blazers51c1,873$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.188923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc50…f8debacked Denver Nuggets45c1,872$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Denver Nuggets50c1,797$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.8518445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Portland Trail Blazers50c1,709$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.661675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+95.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Denver Nuggets32c1,695$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.571,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Portland Trail Blazers36c1,677$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.987835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Portland Trail Blazers45c1,603$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.818756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Portland Trail Blazers54c1,598$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.083154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Portland Trail Blazers50c1,549$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.1232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Portland Trail Blazers39c1,490$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.121243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Portland Trail Blazers47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Denver Nuggets49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Denver Nuggets42c1,395$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Trail Blazers61c1,261$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Denver Nuggets54c1,250$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.5919548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Trail Blazers49c1,242$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Denver Nuggets58c1,217$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0310761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Portland Trail Blazers40c1,215$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.285058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Portland Trail Blazers50c1,208$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.0818147.5%86 W · 95 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Denver Nuggets48c1,208$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.052339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Denver Nuggets40c1,183$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.631,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Denver Nuggets49c1,182$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.5562652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Denver Nuggets61c1,142$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…0ad6backed Portland Trail Blazers51c1,115$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bd…89bcbacked Portland Trail Blazers33c1,093$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4f…6d4bbacked Denver Nuggets58c1,038$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Portland Trail Blazers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Denver Nuggets45c1,000$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Denver Nuggets56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9919448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Denver Nuggets57c999.37$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5115250.7%77 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Portland Trail Blazers52c998$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Denver Nuggets11c934.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Denver Nuggets65c915.11$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2521455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Portland Trail Blazers42c887.69$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.866746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Denver Nuggets60c865.42$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…5baabacked Portland Trail Blazers23c860$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Portland Trail Blazers51c845.68$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.382,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Denver Nuggets48c795.87$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9310225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Portland Trail Blazers64c655.36$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.933366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Portland Trail Blazers49c632.53$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Denver Nuggets60c630.95$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.575151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Denver Nuggets56c619.8$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.978654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Portland Trail Blazers48c599.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Denver Nuggets55c533.67$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe2…6157backed Denver Nuggets58c490.22$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Denver Nuggets60c481.59$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland Trail Blazers53c481.24$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.721,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Denver Nuggets55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Denver Nuggets48c418.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0722753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Portland Trail Blazers41c415.19$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.123452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Denver Nuggets49c408.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Portland Trail Blazers38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Denver Nuggets54c385.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x037d…22a4backed Portland Trail Blazers30c345.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3dd…81b2backed Portland Trail Blazers50c340.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+83.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Portland Trail Blazers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Portland Trail Blazers46c336.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1757550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Portland Trail Blazers68c303.58$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6514551%74 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Denver Nuggets47c302.2$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Denver Nuggets20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018930.7%58 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Portland Trail Blazers34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1235650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Portland Trail Blazers51c294.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Portland Trail Blazers64c294$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.653756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Denver Nuggets57c293$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.011464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Denver Nuggets50c284.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1923833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Denver Nuggets48c261$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.282744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e79…1763backed Denver Nuggets50c259.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Portland Trail Blazers50c252.51$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…4750backed Denver Nuggets58c245.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.61812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-75.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ee…fc4bbacked Denver Nuggets50c245.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.722254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Portland Trail Blazers41c241.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Portland Trail Blazers80c237.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Denver Nuggets49c235.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.151,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Denver Nuggets64c232.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Denver Nuggets45c232.22$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…2576backed Portland Trail Blazers65c231.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Denver Nuggets29c222.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Portland Trail Blazers41c219.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.425848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.