TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah Jazzof Utah Jazz, Portland Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Portland Trail Blazers42c11,179$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7504946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Portland Trail Blazers41c6,621$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.5337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Portland Trail Blazers50c4,811$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Utah Jazz57c3,726$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.3611145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc2…160dbacked Portland Trail Blazers42c3,534$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Utah Jazz58c3,380$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Utah Jazz47c2,781$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.418230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Portland Trail Blazers11c2,770$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.768923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Utah Jazz56c2,730$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Portland Trail Blazers3c2,600$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0df…3adbbacked Portland Trail Blazers57c2,513$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Utah Jazz60c2,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.4522753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Trail Blazers40c2,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Utah Jazz46c2,179$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.481,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Portland Trail Blazers39c2,043$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7928756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Portland Trail Blazers14c1,983$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.131,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Utah Jazz62c1,955$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.6842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Utah Jazz59c1,760$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.471675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+95.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Utah Jazz48c1,531$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portland Trail Blazers28c1,505$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.591,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Utah Jazz66c1,500$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4414357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Portland Trail Blazers48c1,492$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7107835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Portland Trail Blazers54c1,492$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.1910761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Utah Jazz47c1,390$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.893275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Utah Jazz59c1,283$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.5425954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Utah Jazz64c1,277$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.681,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a4…856ebacked Utah Jazz59c1,266$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Utah Jazz44c1,092$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.3228838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Utah Jazz58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0625651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Portland Trail Blazers55c885.45$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48735650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Utah Jazz62c875.75$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6814042.9%60 W · 80 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Utah Jazz60c756.76$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.411,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Utah Jazz54c749.5$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.771,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Utah Jazz75c676.35$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.095058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Utah Jazz57c654.28$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.841752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Utah Jazz55c633.07$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5821243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Utah Jazz58c570.67$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Utah Jazz66c569.35$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Portland Trail Blazers7c518.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.86734.3%23 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Utah Jazz49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Utah Jazz53c492.21$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3433150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Utah Jazz61c491.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4927746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…adefbacked Utah Jazz77c490$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.66100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah Jazz55c487.87$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Utah Jazz57c475.93$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.483764.9%24 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Utah Jazz47c437.48$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Utah Jazz59c421$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Utah Jazz49c408.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.53737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Portland Trail Blazers30c399$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5211160.4%67 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Portland Trail Blazers22c391.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Utah Jazz56c391.07$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Portland Trail Blazers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147.5%86 W · 95 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Portland Trail Blazers27c360.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5457550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Utah Jazz77c327.14$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.15076%38 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland Trail Blazers19c317.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.161,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Utah Jazz57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Portland Trail Blazers12c291.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Utah Jazz57c288$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Portland Trail Blazers43c279.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.772339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037d…22a4backed Portland Trail Blazers26c276.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Utah Jazz78c263.9$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.989851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Portland Trail Blazers40c250.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Utah Jazz61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Portland Trail Blazers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Utah Jazz49c243.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Portland Trail Blazers43c230.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Utah Jazz46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Utah Jazz56c212.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4427145.4%123 W · 148 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Portland Trail Blazers51c209$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4919548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Utah Jazz46c207.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Utah Jazz50c201.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.071030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Portland Trail Blazers44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Utah Jazz50c199.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah Jazz67c198.95$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.511,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Utah Jazz76c189.74$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Portland Trail Blazers47c187.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.132744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Portland Trail Blazers29c184.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.132213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Utah Jazz60c182.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Portland Trail Blazers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Portland Trail Blazers38c178.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Utah Jazz76c176$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.052781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Portland Trail Blazers49c175.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4f…6d4bbacked Utah Jazz58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Portland Trail Blazers52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7821848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Portland Trail Blazers56c139.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…fc4bbacked Portland Trail Blazers42c123.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.342254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…81b2backed Utah Jazz51c120.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+83.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Portland Trail Blazers47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Utah Jazz46c106.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.466636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Portland Trail Blazers25c105$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Utah Jazz50c102.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.932166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Utah Jazz77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.62857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e3…daf8backed Portland Trail Blazers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Portland Trail Blazers23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Utah Jazz79c95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Utah Jazz57c93.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4233356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Portland Trail Blazers57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed Portland Trail Blazers56c87.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Portland Trail Blazers55c86.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.738654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Portland Trail Blazers24c84.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.