TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Las Vegas Acesof Washington Mystics, Las Vegas Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Las Vegas Aces68c67,454$45,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,759.79245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Mystics32c50,134$16,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,023.5826953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics32c27,579$8,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,825.2636154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Washington Mystics36c10,220$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.554334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Las Vegas Aces67c9,896$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.768937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics29c9,742$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.741,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1dd…fb67backed Washington Mystics36c7,781$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb63…b3debacked Washington Mystics21c7,315$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.12128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics33c7,064$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.1227449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Las Vegas Aces74c6,690$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.842382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Las Vegas Aces65c5,938$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.8310340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Mystics0c5,700$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Washington Mystics4c4,750$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.985020%10 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Las Vegas Aces71c4,356$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.827740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces69c4,328$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.1283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Mystics5c3,856$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8715741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces74c3,407$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.8532150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Washington Mystics33c3,064$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.167236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Washington Mystics19c3,029$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.854139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces73c2,535$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.7785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces76c2,098$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces69c2,019$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.9514060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Las Vegas Aces70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces67c1,818$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.6536750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Washington Mystics22c1,762$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.688228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Mystics36c1,757$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.2231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Las Vegas Aces72c1,664$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.593455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Mystics3c1,558$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Las Vegas Aces61c1,551$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Washington Mystics16c1,500$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2369214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics24c1,485$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics29c1,466$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics21c1,419$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Mystics32c1,400$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0110923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces70c1,391$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.346247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b8c…3771backed Las Vegas Aces58c1,352$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Las Vegas Aces70c1,289$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.587655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics24c1,237$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces73c1,077$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8830649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Washington Mystics23c1,068$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.753444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb25…62edbacked Washington Mystics24c1,034$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces69c1,000$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.949650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics30c942.72$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0832049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics32c928.29$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Washington Mystics3c927.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Las Vegas Aces68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.355844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Las Vegas Aces70c860.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.995863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Washington Mystics26c854.58$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Mystics31c806.03$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.164456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…ab89backed Las Vegas Aces79c805.03$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Las Vegas Aces76c800$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Las Vegas Aces69c789.07$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.115738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x622c…4309backed Las Vegas Aces68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Las Vegas Aces68c713.24$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.243740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Las Vegas Aces77c694.99$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces68c689.36$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6941147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Las Vegas Aces67c682$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.069445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Washington Mystics34c681.43$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.052552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces77c664.79$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8236454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics32c657.6$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4374942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Mystics32c649.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2089139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Washington Mystics15c649.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.513024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Las Vegas Aces68c636.2$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.22560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Las Vegas Aces72c629.01$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2910454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Washington Mystics26c621.12$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.042835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces65c605$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7555255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae26…fdb3backed Las Vegas Aces75c560.29$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.32450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Washington Mystics33c527.17$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.218549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces69c522$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics31c500.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15550952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Washington Mystics5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Washington Mystics30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Washington Mystics20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002825%7 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Las Vegas Aces73c456.16$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.168061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Las Vegas Aces74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed Las Vegas Aces79c385.16$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.631154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaad1…172ebacked Washington Mystics26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Las Vegas Aces68c383.93$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.863548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Las Vegas Aces70c359.52$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8917946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Washington Mystics27c356.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972425%6 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Washington Mystics35c334.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Washington Mystics30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Las Vegas Aces68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Washington Mystics31c308.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.661618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Washington Mystics34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Las Vegas Aces68c293.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7621446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Las Vegas Aces69c291.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.516854.4%37 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Las Vegas Aces68c291.25$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.28953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Mystics12c288.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2511841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…e23dbacked Las Vegas Aces68c287.81$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.11060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbf…4e4ebacked Las Vegas Aces68c287.69$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.061163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Las Vegas Aces70c260$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Las Vegas Aces68c255.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.643941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Las Vegas Aces65c252.26$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Las Vegas Aces74c240.48$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4631448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Washington Mystics32c240.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9113850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf651…d29bbacked Washington Mystics19c239$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Las Vegas Aces75c237$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.317368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…6a4dbacked Las Vegas Aces70c225$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.