WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x279fe35041395050c7b23510b33a059d2afcda698b3518525b03bfd603605b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 3,355$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.95 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,758$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.87 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 1,435$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.77 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,106$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.14 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 932.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 75c | 402.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 243.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 52c | 132.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Under | 55c | 88.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…1d67backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 27c | 55.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Under | 55c | 48.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 37.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 52c | 37.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 48c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 48c | 34.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Under | 56c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 171.5this page
- Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 170.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.