TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 170.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Under50c125,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,999.929245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over50c74,302$37,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,151.073740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c36,178$17,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,727.2236154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c6,941$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.1511457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c5,917$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.933844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c5,031$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.4113048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under51c4,749$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.837950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c3,175$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.7950646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c3,094$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.9399548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c2,275$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.411,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c2,005$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.8646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c1,762$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.8355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c1,663$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.111,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Over49c1,327$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under47c1,020$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3514942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c999.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8313742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c881.99$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c848$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5238650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over53c799.99$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4247549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c678.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4337141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c635.1$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3528647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over53c628.3$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3333534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Over49c602.63$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.291926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c589.46$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.3178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over50c535.78$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8912846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c391.24$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7192248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f9…5cd9backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over51c365.53$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.422948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over51c318.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.069348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under47c276$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2830734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed Over49c271.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under50c261.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4112661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088442.9%36 W · 48 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over49c188.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.248743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c130.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c127.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under49c125.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9720340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Over49c125.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf698…a7e7backed Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388457.1%48 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under49c102.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.359042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under49c100.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5339947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over49c81.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6913649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Over52c61.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over51c55.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.325158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over52c49.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.545945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under65c48.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0624656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Under53c45.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.583461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c44.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under61c43.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8915453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under49c40.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.916155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over51c38.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.516053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under80c34.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9634753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c32.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1841145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.818057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb93…94cfbacked Under47c30.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.183339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…00d5backed Under48c30.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753540%14 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under51c29.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under49c29.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.944245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c0…0974backed Under50c28.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…83adbacked Under50c28.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.354560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Under53c27.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.932650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked Over49c25.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under49c22.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6332750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.788962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Over49c21.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Over52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.