WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256f90acbf6172ff99e49edeb5503f1bfdaed6edb81b115dc8b4db0ae8cb79ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 13,978$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,268.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 6,279$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 5,095$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.94 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 3,545$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.45 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 3,500$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.5 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 3,158$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 2,932$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 2,679$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 2,281$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 2,171$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.29 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,822$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.13 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 1,343$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.36 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,222$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.87 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 1,214$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.7 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 1,116$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.15 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,079$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.81 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.2 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 868.97$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 800.6$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.33 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 35c | 750.13$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 736.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870d…08d9backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 557.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 519.01$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.39 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 400.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 399.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 381.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Las Vegas Aces | 66c | 367.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 340.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 336.81$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 325$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 323.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces | 59c | 308.36$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Washington Mystics | 66c | 301.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 296.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 276$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 255.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 67c | 246.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 225.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 222.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 219.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 217.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 217$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 217$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 203.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 196.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 164.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 160.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 68c | 160.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Las Vegas Aces | 78c | 144.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 140.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 138.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 135.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics | 36c | 131.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 127.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 126.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Washington Mystics | 26c | 116$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…d737backed Las Vegas Aces | 28c | 114$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 113.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…614dbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 107.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 94.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 91.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 89.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Washington Mystics | 35c | 89.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…fa2bbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…f197backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 84.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 83.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 75.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 75.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 69.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 63.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 51.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)this page
- Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 171.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.