TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c16,495$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,839.764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over11c7,295$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.84334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c6,845$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.6940550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c6,392$4,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.771,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over53c4,583$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4505158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c4,298$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.091,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under45c3,725$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.9419446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.995541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c2,428$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under50c1,989$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.0550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over55c1,778$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.999140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Over4c1,460$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.11330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c66…76cdbacked Under49c1,354$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.251275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf3f…7103backed Over55c1,327$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over3c1,292$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7624852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c1,185$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.2899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c1,164$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.8289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c1,121$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.4838650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under50c1,097$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.4828558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over5c1,051$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over11c1,044$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6131043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c938.28$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.6932540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under77c880.17$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7732150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over34c859.93$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.583740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c829.83$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.9274942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c810.05$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under48c630$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c612.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Over52c568.81$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.78825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b8…4429backed Over45c553.4$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over54c528.04$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfe…7274backed Over16c499.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c470$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.86544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over5c451.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5515741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under47c413.72$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3330734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c399$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over53c368.6$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.367450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c335.71$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18812751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Over17c324.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c290.34$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4492248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over50c266$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under72c251.26$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4330649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over55c246.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3413649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under63c240.82$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.910454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.627049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under63c204.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.982560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e7d…7161backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c181.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8128647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under66c174.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.613256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under76c169$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8434753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Over58c162.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.265242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over52c159.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…efe7backed Over55c124.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c111.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1150952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over17c107.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under68c105.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4324656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under69c104$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3123955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5439947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db8…d737backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Under51c99.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.712365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Over46c94.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under66c93.22$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7215453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Under50c82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.782152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under78c77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7231448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under44c75.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3413440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Under61c72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.083040%12 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over53c64.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4217343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over54c63.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under47c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under78c62.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.768549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under52c59.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3712661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffc2…c69abacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over51c50.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5541145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5436750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under77c40.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1957…0e20backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.826054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Over53c39.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.062040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under48c38.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.910853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under69c35.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f92…dc43backed Over53c34.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Under52c33.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over51c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.328438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Under63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under67c29.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fa…bea1backed Under50c29.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under50c29.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5615746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Under51c28.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.022650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Over48c28.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.