WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71432f36607d8910f28453b778b5e4fdecff943348ebcd7aab8c8f37d3475d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Las Vegas Aces, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 7,009$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 6,350$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.86 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 4,411$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.41 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 3,000$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 2,570$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 2,134$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 2,070$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 2,024$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,647$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.77 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,530$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,392$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 1,350$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.63 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 1,253$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.35 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 1,137$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.82 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,119$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.96 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 819.66$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.63 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Washington Mystics | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 700$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 652.35$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.15 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 569.03$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 545.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.11 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Washington Mystics | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.11 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 418$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Washington Mystics | 58c | 372.41$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 325.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 320.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 264.04$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 218.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 204.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 199.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Washington Mystics | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 38c | 136.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 127.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 111.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Mystics | 37c | 103.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 101.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 91.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 76.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 71.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 49.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 49.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 39.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 39.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 37.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 37.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 32.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 24.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 23.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…d338backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Washington Mystics | 59c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)this page
- Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 170.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 171.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.