MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd58033380ea1ab708e42f01d636ca60a8da6272f660bbfdc2e4c1acf27d1872d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Athletics, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $846,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $893,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 45c | 147,759$66,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,491.44 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 99,214$54,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,646.39 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 57,837$29,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,581.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 56,893$24,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,559.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Athletics | 7c | 52,024$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.45 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 45c | 35,505$16,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,045.25 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 30,041$15,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,376.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 13c | 27,885$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.05 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Athletics | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 13,970$7,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.68 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 12,386$6,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Athletics | 48c | 10,123$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.91 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Athletics | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 47c | 9,593$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 44c | 9,039$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 41c | 8,378$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 8,342$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 8,152$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.72 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 7,938$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.7 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Athletics | 65c | 6,565$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.24 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 54c | 5,776$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Athletics | 59c | 4,860$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,491$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.16 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 43c | 4,411$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 4,173$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,049$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.56 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 3,658$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 52c | 3,365$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Athletics | 44c | 2,909$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.09 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Athletics | 55c | 2,742$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.31 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.28 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,717$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.04 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,665$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.24 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,413$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed Athletics | 63c | 2,329$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,155$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 2,011$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.05 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,966$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.23 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,751$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.41 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 1,724$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.38 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Athletics | 55c | 1,673$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,642$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.13 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…2f8cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics | 13c | 1,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 50c | 1,500$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.01 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,416$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.85 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 51c | 1,408$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Athletics | 55c | 1,330$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.37 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 45c | 1,248$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,237$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.4 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Athletics | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Athletics | 2c | 1,056$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Athletics | 51c | 980.82$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.81 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 920.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.28 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 49c | 920.55$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Athletics | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 35c | 857.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 799.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 788.64$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 57c | 780$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 14c | 740$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Athletics | 13c | 720.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Athletics | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 698.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Athletics | 44c | 666$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 650.48$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 645.97$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Athletics | 61c | 637.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 578.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.69 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 576.5$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 563$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Athletics | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Athletics | 14c | 447.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 425.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics | 42c | 411.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Athletics | 14c | 408.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Athletics | 52c | 407.81$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 45c | 390$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Athletics | 45c | 387.83$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 48c | 386.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 26c | 377.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Athletics | 42c | 375.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Athletics | 54c | 375.15$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.79 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…e63ebacked Athletics | 60c | 338.55$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 40c | 334.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Athletics | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Athletics | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.