MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2c26e5a93cac9c054c4b22c3681b335811d60373a028b2a5fcaa56dcdd1da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 22,580$13,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,089.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 54c | 22,252$12,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,216.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 21,239$8,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,516.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 44c | 15,624$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.62 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 60c | 8,269$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 5,667$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 30c | 4,234$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.52 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 2,855$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.47 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 2,141$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 47c | 2,121$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 2,067$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 37c | 1,696$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.1 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 1,662$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Under | 57c | 1,413$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 45c | 1,407$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.22 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 57c | 1,401$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.55 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 46c | 1,377$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.23 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 46c | 1,377$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.23 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 1,220$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.84 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.76 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 55c | 916.36$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.36 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 879.1$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 46c | 799.76$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 46c | 787.47$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.23 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 46c | 632.22$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 618$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.9 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 585$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 46c | 577.23$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 70c | 486.9$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 445.58$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 46c | 386.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 293$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 46c | 283.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 46c | 271.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 218.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 191.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 183.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 183$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 44c | 182.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 57c | 158$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 40c | 152.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 46c | 140.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 44c | 106.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 101.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 56c | 96.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 52c | 90.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 46c | 87.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 86.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 44c | 82.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 77.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 75.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 46c | 70.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 46c | 70.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 35c | 64.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 35c | 64.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 46c | 61.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 39c | 58.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 34c | 56.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 60c | 53.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…a6e2backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 55c | 45.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 56c | 44.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 56c | 44.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Under | 57c | 42.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…9bbabacked Over | 46c | 38.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 46c | 38.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 54c | 38.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 37.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 35c | 36.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 44c | 36.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 31.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 28.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 46c | 28.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 25.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.