MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6dd86f20f38711319cd3d315219e9bfbe117f34e1cb58ed4ad974287b6b5bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 37,924$24,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,702.05 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 36,369$12,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,729.54 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…f90cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 21,143$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 15,307$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.16 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 13,680$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 12,689$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.91 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 7,665$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.52 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 6,497$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.01 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 6,365$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 5,635$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 4,921$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 3,440$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.83 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,439$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,272$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.14 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,039$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,033$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 1,504$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 1,469$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.3 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 1,415$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…64b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,284$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 1,265$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,264$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.89 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,132$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,114$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.06 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 1,049$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 904.51$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 871.2$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 796.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…dbfdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 727.05$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 666$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 651.33$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 577.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 482.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…081ebacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 475.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…7f21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 470.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 395.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 374.12$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 374$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 372$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 367.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 349.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 346.15$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…4f0dbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 343.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 328.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7937…a98bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 310.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 304.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 303.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 303.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 300.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 287.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 272.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 267$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 248.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 234.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 233.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 230.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 220.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…74eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 218.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 211$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 203.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 203.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 197.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 189.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 184$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 173.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 167.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8114…59a8backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.