MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ff90f130926c2f92cbc9d21ef9049e49bd1e7f15d3ba17bf1401a08749e882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 133,332$62,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,665.88 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 41,246$21,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,930.74 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 32,767$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,711.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 10,775$7,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 46c | 6,324$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.53 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 54c | 3,890$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.4 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 2,901$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,668$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 30c | 1,643$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 1,569$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,426$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 55c | 1,383$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.75 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 80c | 1,368$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 1,311$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 1,195$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.31 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 53c | 1,160$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.98 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 1,125$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.35 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.06 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 54c | 807.31$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 26c | 602.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 46c | 576$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.04 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 54c | 558.78$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.74 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 555$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 29c | 523.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 54c | 416.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 45c | 405.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 46c | 381$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 55c | 364.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 359.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 302.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.48 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 270.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 71c | 270.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 228.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 213.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 199.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 194$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 47c | 191$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Over | 53c | 185.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 179.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 177$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…15aabacked Over | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 46c | 148$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 53c | 143.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 50c | 133.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 125.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 75c | 117.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 107.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 72c | 105.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Over | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Over | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 53c | 97.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 46c | 91.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 45c | 90.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 88.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 54c | 84.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 72c | 77.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…34cabacked Over | 54c | 76.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 74.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 55c | 68.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 45c | 63.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Over | 38c | 62.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 72c | 55.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Over | 33c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 47c | 54.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…b401backed Over | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 42.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 54c | 40.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 54c | 40.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…6552backed Over | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Over | 55c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 46c | 31.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 72c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 71c | 30.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…02f0backed Over | 54c | 30.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 55c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 71c | 21.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.