MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf0b04cae48a6e77706d316be58b7d0007cec5f06237a193b67c1a89dca9cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 107,177$49,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,994.22 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,799.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 25,213$11,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,605.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 23,434$12,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,420.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 12,631$6,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 10,246$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 10,112$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.01 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 6,769$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 6,198$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 6,099$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.24 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 5,242$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.26 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 5,041$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 4,905$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 4,268$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.08 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 3,772$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.93 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 3,237$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.62 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,412$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.19 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 2,385$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,086$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 2,048$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,843$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…271cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,685$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,541$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,500$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,472$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.21 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,472$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,065$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.31 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,003$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 786.76$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.05 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 719.35$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 700$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 73c | 694.73$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 645$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 560$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 548.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 545.45$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 536.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 535.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 521.83$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 465.37$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.61 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 455.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 418.66$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 394.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 350.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 332.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 325.18$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 276$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 261.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 242.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 212.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 200.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 187$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 138.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 128$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 119.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 93.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 86.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 67.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 64.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 59.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 51.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 49.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 48.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…6aaabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 47.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 45.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…c856backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 44.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 39.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 33.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 33.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…d3b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 30.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 27.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.