TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm42c5,082$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.5350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty44c3,198$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.6919446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty64c2,587$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.981,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Liberty44c2,053$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.74546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Seattle Storm56c2,002$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.227655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty53c1,500$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.1932540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe6…4797backed Seattle Storm40c1,500$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty52c1,463$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.241,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm28c1,404$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7130347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty44c1,186$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.9732049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Seattle Storm56c1,049$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.598146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed New York Liberty42c1,041$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.977138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Seattle Storm47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47013742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm49c921.44$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1399548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty50c874.89$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked New York Liberty53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3762347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Liberty44c655.75$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0423245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Seattle Storm58c623.47$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.782347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969e…b834backed Seattle Storm33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty62c478.21$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7250952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty70c477.92$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty68c429.92$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6336750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Seattle Storm58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.726544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53b9…8cf5backed Seattle Storm32c357.14$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty62c315$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Seattle Storm12c282.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.48633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Seattle Storm39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5547…3a41backed Seattle Storm20c249.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Seattle Storm43c196.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7420340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Liberty59c186.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0236454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed New York Liberty61c184.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.973342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Seattle Storm50c174.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4813249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed New York Liberty72c170.13$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.928556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Seattle Storm58c168.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Seattle Storm47c164.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.769156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty44c149.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8732750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty63c149.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6912661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm42c137.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8432150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Seattle Storm54c133$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.823158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Storm54c119$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2610838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Seattle Storm34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed New York Liberty56c116.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.18836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed New York Liberty66c116.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.98748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Seattle Storm18c116.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.052642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked New York Liberty53c115$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0123955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Seattle Storm50c110.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.778138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked New York Liberty56c106$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9530649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Seattle Storm57c103$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7117350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked New York Liberty74c99.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.712653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed New York Liberty45c93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.156154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty60c89.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5319257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked New York Liberty56c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7131448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked New York Liberty49c85.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.368045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Seattle Storm29c80.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2319245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Storm39c73.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4341147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Seattle Storm54c72.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.052352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked New York Liberty69c72.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.393158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm35c70.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6237650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed New York Liberty64c69.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1713355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty42c67.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3540550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Seattle Storm50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed New York Liberty53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9413138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa397…ccd6backed Seattle Storm56c49.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f1…7933backed Seattle Storm29c48.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Seattle Storm52c45.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.773148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked New York Liberty63c45.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.762157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Seattle Storm41c40.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.485853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm56c39.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9442649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Seattle Storm26c39.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.115451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3945…ca75backed Seattle Storm56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed New York Liberty63c34.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6215453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db8…d737backed New York Liberty57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty42c28.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked New York Liberty67c28.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Seattle Storm37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2628140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Seattle Storm56c27.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5317343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed New York Liberty66c27.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.262254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Seattle Storm47c25.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.097945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Seattle Storm49c23.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.475168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked New York Liberty47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.669348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.