TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa397…ccd6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarrobacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.87
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.97
National Bank Open: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.36
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connellbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.11
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.56
The Memphis Classic: Sloane Stephens vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Vancouver: Moyuka Uchijima vs Maddison Inglisbacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$19.53
Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.3
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Michael Zhengbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.02
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Kayla Crossbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.53
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam vs Yuttana Charoenphonbacked Yuttana Charoenphon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.8
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.58
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$36.61
ITF Wuning: Asahi Harazaki vs Hoyoung Rohbacked Hoyoung Roh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$10.17
Istanbul 2: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliona Faleibacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.63
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.5
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.72
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.76
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$17.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.